Milwaukee @ Minnesota picks
Target Field
MIL vs MIN Picks
MLB Picks
Total

Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Twins righty Joe Ryan has spun it to the tune of a 2.93 ERA and 0.90 WHIP, and he’s allowed three runs or fewer in seven of his past nine starts with respective 2.38 and 0.87 marks. The wind is also forecasted to be blowing in at Target Field, and the Brewers also have exciting rookie Jacob Misiorowski toeing the rubber after pitching five scoreless in his big-league debut.
Total RBIs

William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. William Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 6th-best venue in MLB for run-scoring.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
Total RBIs

Willi Castro o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Willi Castro's BABIP ability is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willi Castro is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 6th-best venue in MLB for run-scoring.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Jacob Misiorowski... and even better, Misiorowski has a large platoon split.
Total RBIs

Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 6th-best venue in MLB for run-scoring.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
Total RBIs

Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 81st percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 6th-best venue in MLB for run-scoring.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Ryan Jeffers will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Outs Recorded

Jacob Misiorowski u14.5 Outs Recorded (+130)
Projection 13.6 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jacob Misiorowski is projected to throw 79 pitches in today's matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least on the slate.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 4th-best venue in the game for BABIP.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jacob Misiorowski in today's game.. Placing 7th-steepest in MLB this year, Minnesota Twins hitters as a unit have notched a 15.5° launch angle on their highest exit velocity balls (a reliable metric to evaluate power skills).
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Rhys Hoskins o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 6th-best venue in MLB for run-scoring.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in action today.. Over the last 14 days, Rhys Hoskins's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93-mph over the course of the season to 96.4-mph lately.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Caleb Durbin o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 6th-best venue in MLB for run-scoring.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in action today.. Caleb Durbin has shown impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 88th percentile with a 1.46 K/BB rate.
Outs Recorded

Joe Ryan u17.5 Outs Recorded (+130)
Projection 17.2 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 4th-best venue in the game for BABIP.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Joe Ryan (41.6% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 3 FB hitters in Milwaukee's projected offense.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams in action today.. Joe Ryan's 92.7-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a sizeable 1.3-mph fall off from last year's 94-mph mark.
Total Bases

Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 6th-best venue in MLB for run-scoring.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

William Contreras o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. William Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 6th-best venue in MLB for run-scoring.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.