Milwaukee @ Chicago picks

The Cubs are 24-12 at Wrigley Field, and starter Jameson Taillon has won five straight with a sterling 1.91 ERA and 0.79 WHIP. He’s also been money at home for the North Siders with a 3.19 ERA and 1.14 WHIP across 211 2/3  innings since joining the club. The Brewers starter Peralta has also outpitched his underlying numbers with his 2.60 ERA way short of his 4.07 xFIP. Additionally, the veteran righty hasn’t been as sharp on the highway with a 3.86 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 4.34 xFIP compared to respective 1.32.  0.90 and 3.80 marks at American Family Field.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. William Contreras is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense.. Extreme flyball batters like William Contreras generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jameson Taillon.. In the last week's worth of games, William Contreras's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 102.1-mph in recent games.

Kyle Tucker projects as the 7th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an advantage today.. Kyle Tucker will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.. Over the past two weeks, Jackson Chourio's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.6-mph over the course of the season to 98.8-mph of late.. Ranking in the 76th percentile, Jackson Chourio sports a .302 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Michael Busch ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch will hold the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.. Michael Busch will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.. Michael Busch's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 18.1% to 23.8%.. Michael Busch has notched a .359 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 89th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his home run talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Christian Yelich is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Yelich is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense.. Christian Yelich will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's game.. Christian Yelich has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. William Contreras is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense.. Extreme flyball batters like William Contreras generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jameson Taillon.. In the last week's worth of games, William Contreras's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 102.1-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.. Over the past two weeks, Jackson Chourio's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.6-mph over the course of the season to 98.8-mph of late.. Ranking in the 76th percentile, Jackson Chourio sports a .302 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense.. Isaac Collins has shown strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 76th percentile with a 1.81 K/BB rate.

The #5 venue in the game for suppressing offensive stats to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) among all parks.. Freddy Peralta will have the handedness advantage against Seiya Suzuki today.. Extreme groundball bats like Seiya Suzuki generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Freddy Peralta.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Milwaukee Brewers.