Milwaukee @ Chicago picks
Wrigley Field
MIL vs CHC Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. Among all parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today at 81%.. Jackson Chourio has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.8-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 92.6-mph.
Total RBIs

William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today at 81%.. Extreme flyball bats like William Contreras usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jameson Taillon.
Total RBIs

Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Seiya Suzuki projects as the 17th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Among all parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today at 81%.. Seiya Suzuki will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Rhys Hoskins o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Rhys Hoskins is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Rhys Hoskins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. In the last 7 days, Rhys Hoskins's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93-mph over the course of the season to 101.5-mph lately.
Total RBIs

Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 7th-best batter in baseball.. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-most humid conditions of all games today at 81%.. Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage against Jacob Misiorowski in today's matchup... and even better, Misiorowski has a large platoon split.
Total RBIs

Carson Kelly o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Among all parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today at 81%.. Carson Kelly will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Carson Kelly's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (25.3° in the past two weeks) is considerably higher than his 12.8° seasonal mark.. Based on Statcast data, Carson Kelly ranks in the 91st percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .360.
Total RBIs

Christian Yelich o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his BABIP ability, Christian Yelich is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today at 81%.. Christian Yelich will have the handedness advantage over Jameson Taillon in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Dansby Swanson o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Dansby Swanson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. Among all parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today at 81%.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs

Ian Happ o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Ian Happ is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today at 81%.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will get to bat from his good side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Jacob Misiorowski) in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Pete Crow-Armstrong has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today at 81%.. Because of Jacob Misiorowski's large platoon split, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.