Milwaukee @ Chicago picks
Wrigley Field
MIL vs CHC Picks
MLB Picks
Total Home Runs


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Crow-Armstrong is 5-for-9 lifetime with a round-tripper vs. Peralta. PCA has a pair of multi-hit games over his last three appearances, so he’s coming into this contest with confidence, too. The 23-year-old has smacked 20 homers off right-handed hurlers.
Strikeouts Thrown


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Peralta has cashed the Over in punchouts in back-to-back appearances, sitting down seven via the K last time out against the Pirates. He also struck out another seven batters before that versus the Braves. Across three starts this season against Chicago, Peralta has 16 Ks in 15 innings.
Total RBIs

Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. Among all parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today at 81%.. Jackson Chourio has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.8-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 92.6-mph.
Total RBIs

Rhys Hoskins o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Rhys Hoskins is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today at 81%.. Rhys Hoskins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. In the last 7 days, Rhys Hoskins's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93-mph over the course of the season to 101.5-mph lately.
Total RBIs

Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Tucker projects as the 11th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. Kyle Tucker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs

Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 16th-best batter in baseball.. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. The Barrel% of Seiya Suzuki has significantly improved, with an increase from 11.5% last year to 18.9% this year.
Total RBIs

Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Michael Busch ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. This matchup is expected to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Michael Busch will have an advantage today.
Total RBIs

Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. This matchup is expected to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive skill, William Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. This matchup is expected to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. By putting up a 1.32 K/BB rate this year, William Contreras has shown impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 93rd percentile.
Total Bases

Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. Among all parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today at 81%.. Jackson Chourio has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.8-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 92.6-mph.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Rhys Hoskins o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-169)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Rhys Hoskins is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-most humid conditions of all games today at 82%.. Rhys Hoskins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. In the last 7 days, Rhys Hoskins's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93-mph over the course of the season to 101.5-mph lately.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Danny Jansen o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-169)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. This matchup is expected to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Danny Jansen pulls a lot of his flyballs (43% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Danny Jansen has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.8-mph average to last season's 90.5-mph figure.. Danny Jansen's launch angle this season (24.9°) is considerably better than his 21.6° mark last season.