New York @ Atlanta picks
Truist Park
NYM vs ATL Picks
MLB Picks
MoneyLine

Kenny Ducey
Betting Analyst
With Atlanta holding no clear edge against ground-ball pitchers in terms of its rank in OPS, but experiencing the natural dip many teams see with a roughly 40-point drop, Peterson should be in the clear for another strong start without much to worry about from his opponents when it comes to walking and hitting for power.
Total Home Runs


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Four of Matt Olson’s homers are off left-handed pitchers and he’s hitting .269 against lefties as well. The 31-year-old is also in the middle of a seven-game hitting streak, so +350 is great value in this same-handed matchup.
Total RBIs

Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against David Peterson.. Extreme groundball hitters like Ozzie Albies are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.
Total RBIs

Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for LHB base hits.. Truist Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.
Total RBIs

Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs

Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Olson as MLB's 17th-best home run batter.. Matt Olson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for LHB base hits.. Truist Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.
Total RBIs

Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as the league's 9th-best home run hitter.. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs

Michael Harris II o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for LHB base hits.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Harris II stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Total RBIs

Sean Murphy o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run ability, Sean Murphy ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Sean Murphy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's game.
Total RBIs

Austin Riley o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run ability, Austin Riley ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Austin Riley is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs

Francisco Lindor o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for LHB base hits.. Truist Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Matt Olson o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Olson as MLB's 17th-best home run batter.. Matt Olson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for LHB base hits.. Truist Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.