Washington @ New York picks

Juan Soto, who now has 13 home runs this season, will be loving today’s matchup. The Nats hand a struggling Mike Soroka the ball. The Canadian righty has a 4.86 ERA, allowing six bombs in just seven starts. Soto, meanwhile, is 6-for-10 lifetime vs. Soroka with a pair of homers. 

Kodai Senga is dealing, but his xFIP sits at 4.10 and his BABIP is .260. He's experiencing the highest fly ball rate (41%) and hard-hit rate (32%) of his MLB career. With high humidity and winds blowing toward right-center field, I’m expecting Senga to get the early hook. 

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 2nd-best hitter in the game when it comes to his BABIP talent.. James Wood is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°.. Hitting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, James Wood will have an edge in today's matchup.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Wood has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Josh Bell is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°.. Josh Bell has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 14th-best infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.. Over the last 14 days, Josh Bell has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 11.3% to 21.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Among all parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°.. The Washington Nationals outfield defense projects as the 15th-strongest out of all the teams today.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°.. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 2nd-best hitter in the game when it comes to his BABIP talent.. James Wood is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°.. Hitting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, James Wood will have an edge in today's matchup.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Wood has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°.. Robert Hassell III will hold the platoon advantage over Kodai Senga in today's matchup.. Robert Hassell III is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP.. Robert Hassell III hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences today.

Among all parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 14th-best infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.. Alex Call has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 6.1% seasonal rate to 25% in the last 7 days.. Alex Call has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.4-mph average over the last week to his seasonal EV of 91.2-mph.

Among all parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 14th-best infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.. Given the 2.47 discrepancy between Kodai Senga's 1.59 ERA and his 4.06 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the league this year and should negatively regress the rest of the season.. Kodai Senga's 6th percentile Walk% (11.5% this year) displays his bad control ability.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, CJ Abrams ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Among all parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°.. Batting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, CJ Abrams will have an advantage in today's game.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°.. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka today.