Cincinnati @ Cleveland props

Nolan Jones's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nolan Jones has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Nolan Jones will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Nolan Jones has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.4-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph figure. Nolan Jones has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .268 rate is quite a bit lower than his .303 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Steven Kwan is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Steven Kwan has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Steven Kwan will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Compared to last year, Steven Kwan has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 45.1% to 50.7% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 3rd-best batter in baseball when estimating his BABIP ability. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Slade Cecconi. Elly De La Cruz has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. Bats such as Elly De La Cruz with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Slade Cecconi who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Spencer Steer's true offensive talent to be a .308, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .028 difference between that figure and his actual .280 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Gabriel Arias is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Gabriel Arias will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Abbott today. Gabriel Arias has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Gabriel Arias tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Andrew Abbott.

Lane Thomas is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Lane Thomas will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Lane Thomas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Lane Thomas's launch angle this year (22.1°) is considerably better than his 16.8° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Gavin Lux is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The #3 park in the game for boosting BABIP to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Gavin Lux will hold the platoon advantage against Slade Cecconi today.

Carlos Santana is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Carlos Santana will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Andrew Abbott in today's matchup. Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Carlos Santana will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. By putting up a 1.37 K/BB rate this year, Carlos Santana has displayed strong plate discipline, placing in the 90th percentile.

Jake Fraley will hold the platoon advantage against Slade Cecconi in today's matchup. Jake Fraley pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jake Fraley's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (30.2° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is a significant increase over his 17.1° seasonal angle. Sporting a .261 batting average since the start of last season, Jake Fraley has performed in the 75th percentile.

Bo Naylor will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Bo Naylor's launch angle this season (24.9°) is significantly higher than his 19.5° mark last year. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Bo Naylor has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 28.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 23.2°. Bo Naylor has shown favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 75th percentile with a 1.8 K/BB rate.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Angel Martinez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Andrew Abbott in today's matchup. Angel Martinez pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. Angel Martinez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Angel Martinez has been unlucky this year, posting a .265 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .292 — a .027 discrepancy.

Batting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Will Benson will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Barrel% of Will Benson has significantly improved, with an increase from 11.6% last year to 17.9% this season. This season, Will Benson has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 99.7 mph compared to last year's 93.4 mph mark.

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. Batting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, TJ Friedl will have an advantage in today's game. TJ Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (39.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Over the past two weeks, TJ Friedl has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 22.1° compared to his seasonal mark of 8.4°. As it relates to plate discipline, TJ Friedl's talent is quite impressive, posting a 1.34 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 91st percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Encarnacion-Strand is penciled in 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 3rd-best venue in baseball for right-handed BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johnathan Rodriguez in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Johnathan Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott today. Extreme groundball bats like Johnathan Rodriguez are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Andrew Abbott. Johnathan Rodriguez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 3rd-best venue in baseball for right-handed BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Tyler Stephenson has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. In the past 7 days, Matt McLain's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.3-mph over the course of the season to 104-mph of late. In the last week, Matt McLain's 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Matt McLain's true offensive talent to be a .326, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .060 disparity between that figure and his actual .266 wOBA. Matt McLain and his 18.3° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 93rd percentile, among the highest in baseball this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (41.4% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Ramirez will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to last year, Jose Ramirez has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.5% to 20.1% this season.

David Fry is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, David Fry will have the upper hand in today's game. David Fry pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and David Fry will hold that advantage today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, David Fry ranks in the 92nd percentile with a 19.1° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in the majors.