Toronto @ Minnesota Picks & Props

Alejandro Kirk's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst out of every team in action today. Alejandro Kirk has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph mark. Alejandro Kirk has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 99.8-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 93.6-mph EV.

When estimating his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst out of every team in action today. Over the last 14 days, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 15.2% to 20.8%. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.4-mph to 97.2-mph over the last 14 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst out of every team in action today. The Barrel% of George Springer has significantly improved, with an increase from 9.3% last year to 21.5% this year. George Springer has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 21.5% seasonal rate to 29.8% in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst out of every team in action today. Ernie Clement has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.8-mph average to last year's 85.3-mph EV. Ernie Clement's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 41.6% to 48.6%. Ernie Clement's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 48.6% on the season to 58.9% in the past 14 days.

The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst out of every team in action today.

Harrison Bader will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Harrison Bader has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 10.3% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past two weeks. Harrison Bader has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 103.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 93.6-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Roden in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Hitting from the opposite that Chris Paddack throws from, Alan Roden will have an edge today. The Minnesota Twins don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Alan Roden is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the entire game. Extreme groundball hitters like Alan Roden generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Chris Paddack. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst out of every team in action today.

Ty France's batting average ability is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ty France is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Ty France will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Ty France's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 41.6% to 48%. Ty France's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 48% on the season to 71% in the past week's worth of games.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Royce Lewis ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Royce Lewis will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Royce Lewis has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.7% seasonal rate to 30.8% in the last 7 days. Royce Lewis has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.8-mph to 94-mph in the past two weeks. Over the last two weeks, Royce Lewis's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonatan Clase in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Jonatan Clase will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Chris Paddack in this game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst out of every team in action today. Over the last week, Jonatan Clase has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 19.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 15.1°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Carlos Correa is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Carlos Correa will hold that advantage today. Carlos Correa has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 104.9-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 91.6-mph. Despite posting a .289 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Carlos Correa has experienced some negative variance given the .045 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .334.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Kevin Gausman. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Willi Castro has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph to 92.3-mph in the last week's worth of games. Over the last week, Willi Castro's 60% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Byron Buxton is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Byron Buxton has posted a .333 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 92nd percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Trevor Larnach will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Trevor Larnach will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last 14 days, Trevor Larnach's 63.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Hitting from the opposite that Chris Paddack throws from, Andres Gimenez will have an edge in today's game. The Minnesota Twins don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Andres Gimenez is assured to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the entire game. Extreme groundball bats like Andres Gimenez tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Chris Paddack. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst out of every team in action today.

Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ryan Jeffers has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 9.2% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past two weeks. In the last two weeks, Ryan Jeffers's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.7%. Ryan Jeffers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 37.5% to 48.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Nathan Lukes has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Chris Paddack throws from, Nathan Lukes will have an advantage in today's game. The Minnesota Twins don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Nathan Lukes is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game. Extreme flyball batters like Nathan Lukes tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Chris Paddack.

Chris Paddack will hold the platoon advantage over Bo Bichette in today's game. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bo Bichette in today's matchup.

Brooks Lee is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Brooks Lee will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Kevin Gausman in today's game. Brooks Lee will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Brooks Lee's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 15.6% to 19%.

Addison Barger is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Addison Barger will have the handedness advantage against Chris Paddack in today's game. The Minnesota Twins don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Addison Barger is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever all game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst out of every team in action today. Addison Barger has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 8.8% rate last year to 15.5% this year.

Kody Clemens will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman today. Kody Clemens will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Kody Clemens has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.1-mph average to last year's 93.8-mph EV. Placing in the 75th percentile, Kody Clemens has posted a .321 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Matt Wallner ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Wallner is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Matt Wallner will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Matt Wallner will hold that advantage in today's game. Matt Wallner has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 17.5% rate last year to 23.1% this year.