Toronto @ Minnesota picks
Target Field
TOR vs MIN Picks
MLB Picks
Total Singles


Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Of Alejandro Kirk's 56 hits, 47 have been singles. He's batting .366 since May 1 and there's more value in singling out the, erm, single, than taking him to simply get a hit.
Total RBIs

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst out of every team in action today.. Over the last 14 days, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 15.2% to 20.8%.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.4-mph to 97.2-mph over the last 14 days.
Total RBIs

George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst out of every team in action today.. The Barrel% of George Springer has significantly improved, with an increase from 9.3% last year to 21.5% this year.. George Springer has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 21.5% seasonal rate to 29.8% in the past 14 days.
Total RBIs

Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Alejandro Kirk's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst out of every team in action today.. Alejandro Kirk has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph mark.. Alejandro Kirk has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 99.8-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 93.6-mph EV.
Total RBIs

Carlos Correa o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Carlos Correa is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Carlos Correa will hold that advantage today.. Carlos Correa has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 104.9-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 91.6-mph.. Despite posting a .289 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Carlos Correa has experienced some negative variance given the .045 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .334.
Total RBIs

Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run talent, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Ryan Jeffers has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 9.2% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past two weeks.. In the last two weeks, Ryan Jeffers's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.7%.
Total RBIs

Matt Wallner o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Matt Wallner projects as the 8th-best home run hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Wallner is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Matt Wallner will have an edge in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Matt Wallner will hold that advantage in today's game.. Matt Wallner has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 17.5% rate last year to 23.1% this year.
Total RBIs

Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the majors's 15th-best home run hitter.. Byron Buxton is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Byron Buxton has averaged 27.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 88th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Ranking in the 89th percentile, Byron Buxton has notched a .499 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.
Total RBIs

Bo Bichette o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his BABIP skill, Bo Bichette is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bo Bichette is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst out of every team in action today.. Bo Bichette has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.1% seasonal rate to 18.6% in the last two weeks.. Bo Bichette has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last year's 89.2-mph average.
Total Bases

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst out of every team in action today.. Over the last 14 days, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 15.2% to 20.8%.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.4-mph to 97.2-mph over the last 14 days.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 2.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst out of every team in action today.. Over the last 14 days, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 15.2% to 20.8%.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.4-mph to 97.2-mph over the last 14 days.