San Diego @ Milwaukee picks

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Chad Patrick in today's matchup.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.273) suggests that Jake Cronenworth has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .243 actual batting average.. Jake Cronenworth has shown impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile with a 1.73 K/BB rate.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best batter in the majors.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Fernando Tatis Jr. has put up a .345 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Placing in the 84th percentile, Fernando Tatis Jr. sits with a .356 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.. In the past 7 days, Manny Machado's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.4% up to 18.2%.. Manny Machado has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.9-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 95.2-mph.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball bats like William Contreras usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Randy Vasquez.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and William Contreras will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When it comes to his home run skill, Jake Bauers ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Bauers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez today.. Jake Bauers has big-time power (95th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (30.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Randy Vasquez has a pitch-to-contact profile (8th percentile K%) — great news for Bauers.. Jake Bauers will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. The Barrel% of Jake Bauers has significantly improved, with an increase from 10.5% last year to 20.4% this season.

Rhys Hoskins is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Rhys Hoskins will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Rhys Hoskins's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (31.3° over the past two weeks) is a significant increase over his 20.2° seasonal angle.. Rhys Hoskins's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 37.9% to 43.9%.. Posting a .355 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Rhys Hoskins has performed in the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.. Jackson Chourio will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Since the start of last season, Martin Maldonado's flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to evaluate power) is in the 76th percentile at 93.9 mph.

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Gavin Sheets will hold the platoon advantage over Chad Patrick in today's game.. Gavin Sheets has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.7-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 95.8-mph.. Gavin Sheets has posted a .351 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 79th percentile.. Ranking in the 91st percentile for power, Gavin Sheets has hit 33.6 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball bats like William Contreras usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Randy Vasquez.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and William Contreras will hold that advantage in today's matchup.