Cleveland @ New York Picks & Props

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 85°. Extreme groundball batters like Bo Naylor tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Fried. Bo Naylor's launch angle this season (25.6°) is significantly higher than his 19.5° figure last season. Compared to his seasonal average of 25.6°, Bo Naylor has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 30.9° mark in the past 14 days. Bo Naylor has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .174 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .196 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 85°. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Slade Cecconi in today's matchup. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in baseball. Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 85°. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Aaron Judge's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 24.1% up to 36.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 85°. Extreme flyball bats like Jose Ramirez tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Max Fried. Jose Ramirez has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 100.1-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.2-mph mark.

Carlos Santana is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 85°. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Carlos Santana will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Max Fried in today's matchup. Carlos Santana has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile with a 1.28 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 85°. Gabriel Arias will hold the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's game. Gabriel Arias has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Gabriel Arias has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 10.2% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Steven Kwan is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 85°. Over the past week, Steven Kwan's 20% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.8%. Steven Kwan's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 45.1% to 51.3%.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 85°. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 85°. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Oswald Peraza will hold that advantage in today's game. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Oswald Peraza has experienced some negative variance this year. His .251 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .312.

Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 85°. Trent Grisham will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Slade Cecconi in today's game. Trent Grisham pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Ben Rice is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 85°. Batting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Ben Rice will have an edge today. Ben Rice pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 85°. Hitting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Austin Wells will have an advantage today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage today. Austin Wells has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 10.9% seasonal rate to 20% over the past 7 days. Austin Wells's launch angle this year (20.3°) is quite a bit better than his 16.9° angle last year.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 85°. Will Wilson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's game.

Angel Martinez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (71% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 85°. The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Max Fried.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 85°. Austin Hedges will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. This season, Austin Hedges has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94 mph compared to last year's 88.4 mph mark. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Austin Hedges ranks in the 97th percentile with a 23.9° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in the league.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 85°. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like DJ LeMahieu are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Slade Cecconi. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and DJ LeMahieu will hold that advantage in today's game. DJ LeMahieu has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last season's 88.5-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 85°. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Jasson Dominguez will get to bat from his good side against Slade Cecconi in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jasson Dominguez will hold that advantage today. Jasson Dominguez has posted a .314 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 85°. Hitting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Cody Bellinger will have the upper hand in today's game. Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 85°. Jhonkensy Noel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jhonkensy Noel's true offensive talent to be a .292, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .117 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .175 wOBA.

David Fry is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 85°. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, David Fry will have an advantage in today's game. David Fry's 19.4° launch angle (a reliable stat to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in MLB: 93rd percentile. The standard deviation of David Fry's launch angle since the start of last season (26.1°) is in the 87th percentile. A low deviation like this tends to lead to a higher batting average on balls in play.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 85°. Paul Goldschmidt will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Paul Goldschmidt has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 15.7° angle is among the highest in the game this year (80th percentile).