Cleveland @ New York Picks & Props

The #3 park in MLB for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report expects the driest conditions on the slate today at 32%. In today's matchup, Jose Ramirez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 41.3% rate (99th percentile). Extreme groundball batters like Jose Ramirez usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Carlos Rodon.

Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Will Wilson will have an edge in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today.

Carlos Santana is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Carlos Rodon. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today. By putting up a 1.25 K/BB rate this year, Carlos Santana has demonstrated good plate discipline, placing in the 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Gabriel Arias will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Gabriel Arias has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Gabriel Arias are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Carlos Rodon. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today.

David Fry is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, David Fry will have the upper hand today. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, David Fry ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 19.4° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in MLB. The standard deviation of David Fry's launch angle since the start of last season (26.1°) is in the 87th percentile. A low deviation like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play.

Angel Martinez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (74% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Angel Martinez will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Carlos Rodon today. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today.

Jhonkensy Noel will hold the platoon advantage over Carlos Rodon in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today. Jhonkensy Noel has been unlucky this year, notching a .179 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .293 — a .114 gap.

The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today. There has been a significant improvement in Bo Naylor's launch angle from last season's 19.5° to 25.6° this year. Bo Naylor's launch angle lately (30.9° over the past two weeks) is significantly higher than his 25.6° seasonal mark.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an advantage today. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like DJ LeMahieu generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Bibee. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and DJ LeMahieu will hold that advantage in today's game. DJ LeMahieu has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last season's 88.5-mph EV. DJ LeMahieu's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 17.6% on the season to 40% in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage in today's game.

Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage over Tanner Bibee today. Trent Grisham will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Trent Grisham has put up a .370 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Ben Rice is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Ben Rice will have the upper hand today. Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Ben Rice will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Aaron Judge will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Over the past week, Aaron Judge's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 24.1% up to 30.8%. Aaron Judge has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 100.4-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 95.9-mph average.

Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Austin Wells will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage in today's game. Austin Wells's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 91.1-mph now compared to just 88.4-mph then. There has been a significant improvement in Austin Wells's launch angle from last year's 16.9° to 20.3° this year. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.244) implies that Austin Wells has had some very poor luck this year with his .212 actual batting average.

Steven Kwan's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Steven Kwan is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.4°, Steven Kwan has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 15.4° mark over the past 7 days. Steven Kwan's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 45.1% to 50.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Paul Goldschmidt will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Paul Goldschmidt's 54.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.7%. Paul Goldschmidt has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 15.7° mark is among the highest in baseball this year (81st percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Cody Bellinger will have the upper hand in today's game. Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Cody Bellinger will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, J.C. Escarra will have the upper hand today. J.C. Escarra will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Kyle Manzardo has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Oswald Peraza has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.