Los Angeles @ Boston picks
Fenway Park
LAA vs BOS Picks
MLB Picks
Outs Recorded
Yusei Kikuchi o17.5 Outs Recorded (+100)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
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o17.5 -105
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Kikuchi has had a long leash of late, throwing an average of 98 pitches over his last five games. He should be given that kind of opportunity again in this one, as the Angels need him to preserve the bullpen. The matchup is fairly strong as well. The Red Sox have hit grounders at an above-average rate, struck out at an above-average rate, and made contact at a below-average rate against left-handed pitchers this season. They are not a team that should slug Kikuchi out of this game before he at least flirts with six innings.
Total RBIs
Rob Refsnyder o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
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o0.5 +175
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The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #2 field in MLB for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Among all parks, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest.. Given Yusei Kikuchi's large platoon split, Rob Refsnyder will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.
Total Bases
Rob Refsnyder o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
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o1.5 +150
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o1.5 +140
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The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #2 field in MLB for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Among all parks, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest.. Given Yusei Kikuchi's large platoon split, Rob Refsnyder will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.
Total Bases
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
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o1.5 +115
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o1.5 +110
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According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 17th-best hitter in the league.. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The #2 field in MLB for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Rafael Devers has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Among all the teams today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Los Angeles Angels.
