Milwaukee @ Cincinnati picks

Civale allowed just one earned run to the Boston Red Sox last week and surrendered just two before that as well against the Pittsburgh Pirates. However, he’s very much a contact pitcher. In all three starts in 2025, Civale has hit the Under in strikeouts. He had four and three punchouts, respectively, in his last two outings. When it comes to facing the Cincinnati Reds, Civale has held this lineup to a mere .208 average across 24 at-bats with only five Ks during that span. Even though the Reds are top five in the Majors in strikeouts, Civale doesn’t miss a lot of bats. I do think he’ll pitch well, but Civale just won’t rack up the Ks.

Though Chourio is still trying to recapture some of the glow from his rookie year, there were encouraging signs in his four-hit effort on Saturday, headlined by a three-run dinger. Now the Cincinnati Reds are in the firing line. Chourio hasn’t seen much of Reds starter Brady Singer (1-for-3), but he’s done some of his best hitting on the road this year, with a .298 batting average and 22 RBIs away from American Family Field. Look for Milwaukee to put early pressure on Singer, who allowed 7+ hits in three of his five May starts, and there should be RBI opportunities for Chourio later in the game, too, with the Brewers getting five hits from the Nos. 7, 8, and 9 spots in yesterday’s win.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the slate.. Matt McLain has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Matt McLain will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the slate.. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Spencer Steer will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the slate.. Tyler Stephenson has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, William Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the slate.. William Contreras has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP talent.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the best park in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the slate.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Aaron Civale.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Rhys Hoskins is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the slate.. Rhys Hoskins pulls many of his flyballs (40.8% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the slate.. Matt McLain has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Matt McLain will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 7th-shallowest left field fences among all parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the slate.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 14th-best among every team on the slate today.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (13.8) may lead us to conclude that Andruw Monasterio has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his 3.7 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the slate.. Rhys Hoskins pulls many of his flyballs (40.8% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball batters like Rhys Hoskins are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brady Singer.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the best park in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the slate.. Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage over Brady Singer in today's matchup... and even better, Singer has a large platoon split.. Jake Bauers pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.