Pittsburgh @ San Diego Picks & Props

10% of the time that Luis Arraez has started against a lefty hurler this year, he has been pulled from the game early. The #8 stadium in the game for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense. Andrew Heaney will have the handedness advantage over Luis Arraez today. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 87.9-mph EV last year has fallen to 84.6-mph.

The #8 stadium in the game for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense. Hitting from the same side that Andrew Heaney throws from, Jackson Merrill will not have the upper hand in today's game. Despite posting a .375 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jackson Merrill has been very fortunate given the .030 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .345.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Extreme groundball bats like Isiah Kiner-Falefa generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Randy Vasquez. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has posted a .301 batting average this year, placing in the 94th percentile.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Tommy Pham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Tommy Pham tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Randy Vasquez. Tommy Pham has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 27.17 ft/sec to 27.68 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Tommy Pham has been unlucky this year, putting up a .236 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .305 — a .069 deviation.

Among all parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Adam Frazier will have an edge in today's game. Adam Frazier's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (17.4°) is significantly higher than his 11.9° angle last season.

Ke'Bryan Hayes is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Extreme flyball batters like Ke'Bryan Hayes generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Randy Vasquez. Ke'Bryan Hayes has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph figure. Ke'Bryan Hayes's launch angle this year (10.3°) is quite a bit higher than his 4.7° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Among all parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage against Randy Vasquez today.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Andrew McCutchen hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Andrew McCutchen has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.6-mph average to last year's 93-mph EV.

Among all parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Martin Maldonado will have an edge today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Martin Maldonado will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Gavin Sheets will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Gavin Sheets has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92-mph average to last year's 87.8-mph figure.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Among all parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Jake Cronenworth will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Among all parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Randy Vasquez.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand today. Oneil Cruz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Petco Park profiles as the #23 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense. There has been a significant decline in Fernando Tatis Jr.'s launch angle from last season's 9.7° to 6.4° this season.

Among all parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Henry Davis's speed has gotten better this year. His 27.73 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.18 ft/sec now.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Alexander Canario is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Among all parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alexander Canario has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 27.18 ft/sec to 27.97 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Alexander Canario has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .282 figure is a good deal lower than his .326 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Manny Machado will have an edge today. Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Xander Bogaerts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jose Iglesias will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Jose Iglesias are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Andrew Heaney. Among all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Among all parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Luis Campusano will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Heaney today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Luis Campusano will hold that advantage in today's matchup.