Los Angeles @ Cleveland Picks & Props

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report projects the coldest weather on the slate today at 55°. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 15-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for mound aces. Steven Kwan's average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 86.6-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 83.2-mph over the last two weeks. Steven Kwan has been lucky this year, compiling a .350 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .042 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Extreme flyball hitters like Luis Rengifo tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Slade Cecconi. Luis Rengifo has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.9-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 90.9-mph.

The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Nolan Schanuel is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. The 6th-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks are found in Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.

The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Travis d'Arnaud has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Travis d'Arnaud has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 25.52 ft/sec to 26.33 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Since the start of last season, Travis d'Arnaud's flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to assess power) grades out in the 87th percentile at 94.9 mph.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Taylor Ward ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Taylor Ward is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Taylor Ward has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Yoan Moncada is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The switch-hitting Yoan Moncada will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Slade Cecconi.

Carlos Santana is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Carlos Santana pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Angels.

Gabriel Arias's BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Gabriel Arias has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Gabriel Arias generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Hendricks.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jorge Soler ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jorge Soler's true offensive talent to be a .339, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .038 difference between that figure and his actual .301 wOBA.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Zach Neto ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Zach Neto is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Zach Neto pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Angel Martinez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (81% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Angel Martinez pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Angels.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Logan O'Hoppe ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Logan O'Hoppe pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Logan O'Hoppe has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 12% rate last year to 17% this year.

The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Daniel Schneemann will have an edge today. Extreme groundball bats like Daniel Schneemann usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Hendricks. Among all the teams today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Angels.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. The 6th-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks are found in Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Kyle Manzardo will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Hendricks in today's matchup.

The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Bo Naylor will have an edge in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Angels. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Bo Naylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Mike Trout projects as the 11th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Mike Trout has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .200 figure is deflated compared to his .265 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Mike Trout's 16.9% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 97th percentile among his peers.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Jo Adell pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jo Adell has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97-mph average to last season's 94.1-mph mark. Jo Adell has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .194 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .258 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Nolan Jones will have an advantage in today's matchup. Nolan Jones has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Jhonkensy Noel has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.