Los Angeles @ Cleveland picks
Progressive Field
LAA vs CLE Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Jorge Soler o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 97th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Jorge Soler is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jorge Soler's true offensive talent to be a .339, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .038 difference between that figure and his actual .301 wOBA.
Total RBIs

Carlos Santana o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Carlos Santana is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Carlos Santana pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Carlos Santana will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases

Kyle Manzardo u1.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Among all major league parks, the 4th-tallest fence height (on average) are at Progressive Field.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report projects the coldest weather on the slate today at 55°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 15-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for mound aces.. Typically, bats like Kyle Manzardo who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Kyle Hendricks.. Kyle Manzardo has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 14.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past two weeks.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Luis Rengifo o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Extreme flyball hitters like Luis Rengifo tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Slade Cecconi.. Luis Rengifo has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.9-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 90.9-mph.. In the past 14 days, Luis Rengifo's 71.4% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.9%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Scott Kingery o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Travis d'Arnaud o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-185)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Travis d'Arnaud has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.. Travis d'Arnaud has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 25.52 ft/sec to 26.33 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).. Since the start of last season, Travis d'Arnaud's flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to assess power) grades out in the 87th percentile at 94.9 mph.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Yoan Moncada o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Yoan Moncada is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. The switch-hitting Yoan Moncada will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Slade Cecconi.