Milwaukee @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

MIL vs PHI Picks

MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Taijuan Walker logo Taijuan Walker u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

Taijuan Walker has been more of a flyball pitcher this season, which is a welcomed sight for a Brewers team with the second-highest ground ball rate in the sport. More importantly, though, the combo of Walker having a whiff rate in the Bottom 10th percentile and the Brewers having the second-lowest whiff rate in baseball over the last month means tons of balls will be in play. My projection for Walker's strikeouts was 2.8, partly aided by his low expected pitch count as the Phillies look to continue building his confidence. I'd play this to -140 with that in mind.

Total Home Runs
Christian Yelich logo Christian Yelich o0.5 Total Home Runs (+370)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Christian Yelich has clubbed 10 home runs, with five long balls in May alone, and he’s gone deep three times in the last six games. The Milwaukee Brewers outfielder has also had success against Philadelphia Phillies starter Taijuan Walker. He’s 4-for-8 lifetime with a home run and three RBI. Yelich is hitting .364 over the last week and has a lot of confidence at the moment. He could smack No. 11 tonight.

MoneyLine
Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI (-142)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Tony Sartori image
Tony Sartori
Betting Analyst

The Milwaukee Brewers lineup has taken a significant step back, creating a favorable position for the Philadelphia Phillies in this matchup. The Brewers rank in the Bottom 8 of the league in hits per game, batting average, slugging percentage, and OPS. Meanwhile, the Phillies rank in the Top 7 in each of those four categories.

Total RBIs
William Contreras logo
William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+126)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. The weather report calls for the most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Bats such as William Contreras with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Taijuan Walker who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Total RBIs
Christian Yelich logo
Christian Yelich o0.5 Total RBIs (+133)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Christian Yelich is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Christian Yelich will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's matchup.. Christian Yelich has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs
Jackson Chourio logo
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total RBIs (+133)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams playing today.
Total RBIs
Sal Frelick logo
Sal Frelick o0.5 Total RBIs (+196)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Sal Frelick is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Sal Frelick will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's game.. Extreme groundball bats like Sal Frelick generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Taijuan Walker.
Total Bases
William Contreras logo
William Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. William Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Bats such as William Contreras with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Taijuan Walker who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
William Contreras logo
William Contreras o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Projection 2.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. William Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Bats such as William Contreras with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Taijuan Walker who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Rhys Hoskins logo
Rhys Hoskins o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Rhys Hoskins pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.. Rhys Hoskins's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 37.9% to 47.7%.
Total Bases
Jackson Chourio logo
Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.
Total Bases
Bryson Stott logo
Bryson Stott o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Bryson Stott is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Quinn Priester in today's game.. Bryson Stott has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Caleb Durbin logo
Caleb Durbin o0.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Caleb Durbin pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.. Caleb Durbin has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 89.8-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 84.2-mph mark.
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MIL vs PHI Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

75% picking Philadelphia

25%
75%

Total PicksMIL 220, PHI 653

Moneyline
MIL
PHI

MIL vs PHI Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Christian Yelich Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Christian Yelich
C. Yelich
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The #7 stadium in the majors for suppressing base hits to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Christian Yelich in today's matchup. Over the past two weeks, Christian Yelich's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.2% down to 0%. Christian Yelich's launch angle this season (-0.2°) is quite a bit worse than his 5.1° figure last season.

Christian Yelich logo

Christian Yelich

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The #7 stadium in the majors for suppressing base hits to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Christian Yelich in today's matchup. Over the past two weeks, Christian Yelich's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.2% down to 0%. Christian Yelich's launch angle this season (-0.2°) is quite a bit worse than his 5.1° figure last season.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Alec Bohm
A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst field in the majors for righty base hits. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. Quinn Priester will have the handedness advantage against Alec Bohm in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Milwaukee Brewers. Alec Bohm has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 8.3% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past two weeks.

Alec Bohm logo

Alec Bohm

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst field in the majors for righty base hits. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. Quinn Priester will have the handedness advantage against Alec Bohm in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Milwaukee Brewers. Alec Bohm has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 8.3% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past two weeks.

Sal Frelick Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Sal Frelick
S. Frelick
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Sal Frelick's batting average skill is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Sal Frelick is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather report calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Sal Frelick will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's game.

Sal Frelick logo

Sal Frelick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Sal Frelick's batting average skill is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Sal Frelick is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather report calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Sal Frelick will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's game.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryson Stott
B. Stott
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Bryson Stott is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The weather report calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Quinn Priester in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Bryson Stott logo

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Bryson Stott is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The weather report calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Quinn Priester in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Brandon Marsh
B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When estimating his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather report calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Quinn Priester in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Brandon Marsh logo

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather report calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Quinn Priester in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jackson Chourio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Jackson Chourio
J. Chourio
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst field in the majors for righty base hits. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. Taijuan Walker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jackson Chourio today. Jackson Chourio will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Jackson Chourio has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last 14 days.

Jackson Chourio logo

Jackson Chourio

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst field in the majors for righty base hits. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. Taijuan Walker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jackson Chourio today. Jackson Chourio will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Jackson Chourio has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last 14 days.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Trea Turner
T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst field in the majors for righty base hits. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. Quinn Priester will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trea Turner today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Milwaukee Brewers. Trea Turner's average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 88.6-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 81.6-mph over the last two weeks.

Trea Turner logo

Trea Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst field in the majors for righty base hits. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. Quinn Priester will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trea Turner today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Milwaukee Brewers. Trea Turner's average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 88.6-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 81.6-mph over the last two weeks.

William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

William Contreras
W. Contreras
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. William Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather report calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Bats such as William Contreras with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Taijuan Walker who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

William Contreras logo

William Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. William Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather report calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Bats such as William Contreras with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Taijuan Walker who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryce Harper
B. Harper
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best hitter in baseball. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The weather report calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Quinn Priester throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand today. Bryce Harper has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Bryce Harper logo

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best hitter in baseball. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The weather report calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Quinn Priester throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand today. Bryce Harper has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Brice Turang
B. Turang
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The #7 stadium in the majors for suppressing base hits to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Brice Turang logo

Brice Turang

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The #7 stadium in the majors for suppressing base hits to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Max Kepler
M. Kepler
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather report calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage against Quinn Priester in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.5°, Max Kepler has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 50.7° angle in the past 14 days.

Max Kepler logo

Max Kepler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather report calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage against Quinn Priester in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.5°, Max Kepler has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 50.7° angle in the past 14 days.

Isaac Collins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Isaac Collins
I. Collins
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather report calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Isaac Collins logo

Isaac Collins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather report calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Caleb Durbin Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Caleb Durbin
C. Durbin
third base 3B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The weather report calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Caleb Durbin pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Caleb Durbin has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 89.8-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 84.2-mph mark.

Caleb Durbin logo

Caleb Durbin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The weather report calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Caleb Durbin pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Caleb Durbin has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 89.8-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 84.2-mph mark.

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Edmundo Sosa
E. Sosa
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather report calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Edmundo Sosa will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Edmundo Sosa's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 39.5% to 56.1%.

Edmundo Sosa logo

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather report calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Edmundo Sosa will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Edmundo Sosa's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 39.5% to 56.1%.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J.T. Realmuto
J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather report calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. J.T. Realmuto will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. J.T. Realmuto has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph to 96.4-mph over the last two weeks.

J.T. Realmuto logo

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather report calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. J.T. Realmuto will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. J.T. Realmuto has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph to 96.4-mph over the last two weeks.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Kyle Schwarber
K. Schwarber
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather report calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Quinn Priester throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand in today's game.

Kyle Schwarber logo

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather report calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Quinn Priester throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand in today's game.

Rhys Hoskins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Rhys Hoskins
R. Hoskins
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The weather report calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Rhys Hoskins pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Rhys Hoskins's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 37.9% to 47.7%. Rhys Hoskins has posted a .371 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 88th percentile.

Rhys Hoskins logo

Rhys Hoskins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather report calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Rhys Hoskins pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Rhys Hoskins's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 37.9% to 47.7%. Rhys Hoskins has posted a .371 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 88th percentile.

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Nick Castellanos
N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Nick Castellanos is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather report calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Nick Castellanos will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Nick Castellanos logo

Nick Castellanos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Nick Castellanos is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather report calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Nick Castellanos will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Milwaukee Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 doomsday07 9-1-0 +27055
2 LuckyGuy 3-7-0 +21010
3 Ollywood 4-6-0 +19651
4 luke44 2-7-1 +18810
5 declin005 5-5-0 +18675
6 ronebme 7-3-0 +18055
7 joe pockets 7-3-0 +17000
8 peede 5-5-0 +16645
9 longball44 7-3-0 +16480
10 djgarcia 7-3-0 +16030
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Philadelphia Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 fatrats 8-2-0 +21045
2 jlayne089 5-5-0 +20155
3 jakringle 4-6-0 +19940
4 Alayne 9-1-0 +19467
5 dragon5868 5-5-0 +19235
6 tonloc4554 6-4-0 +17610
7 KSBreview 6-4-0 +15789
8 JL023 3-7-0 +15387
9 DavePaliwoda 7-3-0 +15330
10 nolajay 7-3-0 +15250
All Phillies Money Leaders
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