Milwaukee @ Philadelphia picks

The Milwaukee Brewers lineup has taken a significant step back, creating a favorable position for the Philadelphia Phillies in this matchup. The Brewers rank in the Bottom 8 of the league in hits per game, batting average, slugging percentage, and OPS. Meanwhile, the Phillies rank in the Top 7 in each of those four categories.

Christian Yelich has clubbed 10 home runs, with five long balls in May alone, and he’s gone deep three times in the last six games. The Milwaukee Brewers outfielder has also had success against Philadelphia Phillies starter Taijuan Walker. He’s 4-for-8 lifetime with a home run and three RBI. Yelich is hitting .364 over the last week and has a lot of confidence at the moment. He could smack No. 11 tonight.

Taijuan Walker has been more of a flyball pitcher this season, which is a welcomed sight for a Brewers team with the second-highest ground ball rate in the sport. More importantly, though, the combo of Walker having a whiff rate in the Bottom 10th percentile and the Brewers having the second-lowest whiff rate in baseball over the last month means tons of balls will be in play. My projection for Walker's strikeouts was 2.8, partly aided by his low expected pitch count as the Phillies look to continue building his confidence. I'd play this to -140 with that in mind.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. William Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Bats such as William Contreras with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Taijuan Walker who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Rhys Hoskins pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.. Rhys Hoskins's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 37.9% to 47.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. William Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Bats such as William Contreras with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Taijuan Walker who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. William Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Bats such as William Contreras with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Taijuan Walker who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Rhys Hoskins pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.. Rhys Hoskins's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 37.9% to 47.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Bryson Stott is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Quinn Priester in today's game.. Bryson Stott has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Caleb Durbin pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.. Caleb Durbin has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 89.8-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 84.2-mph mark.