Atlanta @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. In comparison to his 88.3-mph average last year, Alex Verdugo's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 90.4 mph. In terms of his batting average, Alex Verdugo has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .239 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .260. In terms of plate discipline, Alex Verdugo's skill is quite strong, putting up a 1.83 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 83rd percentile.

The #7 stadium in the game for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to worse offense. Hitting from the same side that AJ Smith-Shawver throws from, Trea Turner will have a tough matchup in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense grades out as the strongest out of all the teams today. Trea Turner has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph dropping to 81.6-mph in the last 14 days.

Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Nick Allen will have an advantage today. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team in action today. Nick Allen has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.8-mph to 89.8-mph in the last two weeks.

Michael Harris II's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Michael Harris II has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team in action today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Michael Harris II has experienced some negative variance this year. His .252 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .317.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's game. J.T. Realmuto has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph to 96.4-mph in the past 14 days.

Drake Baldwin's batting average skill is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Drake Baldwin is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Drake Baldwin will have the handedness advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 16th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The #7 stadium in the game for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to worse offense. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ozzie Albies in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Ozzie Albies's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 88.2 mph to 71.8 mph.

Bryson Stott's batting average ability is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryson Stott is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that AJ Smith-Shawver throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's matchup. Bryson Stott has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage over AJ Smith-Shawver today. Bryce Harper has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage today. Edmundo Sosa's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 39.5% to 56.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Marcell Ozuna will have the upper hand today. Marcell Ozuna pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

The #7 stadium in the game for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to worse offense. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ronald Acuna Jr. in today's matchup.

Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Luke Williams will have an advantage today. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team in action today. Luke Williams is remarkably toolsy, placing in the 84th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.58 ft/sec since the start of last season.

This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Stuart Fairchild will have the handedness advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's game. Stuart Fairchild pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team in action today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Stuart Fairchild ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 20.6° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in the league.

Nick Castellanos's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Nick Castellanos will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Austin Riley projects as the 20th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Austin Riley will have the upper hand in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Alec Bohm is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Alec Bohm will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage over AJ Smith-Shawver in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.5°, Max Kepler has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 50.7° figure in the last two weeks.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 17th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against AJ Smith-Shawver today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Sean Murphy is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Sean Murphy will have an advantage today. Sean Murphy pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 5th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP ability. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that AJ Smith-Shawver throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand today. Brandon Marsh has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Brandon Marsh will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.