Los Angeles @ Cleveland picks

Why not roll with the Dodgers once again as they look for win No. 2 in this three-game series vs. the Guardians? The Dodgers' lineup is dangerous from top to bottom, and Tanner Bibee has been inconsistent at best through the early exchanges of the season. 

Shohei Ohtani is hitting .295 with an MLB-leading 19 home runs to go along with 33 RBI. The 30-year-old has gone deep in back-to-back games against the New York Mets and Cleveland Guardians. He’ll face Tanner Bibee tonight, and Ohtani has clubbed 17 of his bombs off right-handed pitchers. Bibee is very solid, but Ohtani does have a track record against him, going 2-for-6 lifetime with a home run. A third game in a row with a long ball is very possible for Ohtani as he looks to hit No. 20. 

The Dodgers plate a run in the first inning at the highest rate in the majors (38.9%) while ranking second in OPS (.800). They should get on the board early tonight against Cleveland righty Tanner Bibee who has a 5.09 FIP. Bibee has logged a 4.50 ERA while allowing an OPS of 1.017 in the opening frame. L.A. responds with Dustin May who has an xERA of 4.50 with an xBA of .271 through nine starts. May has has pitched to a 9.00 ERA in the first inning.

Tanner Bibee has been a very solid starter for the Cleveland Guardians since coming up to the big leagues in 2023. This season, he’s 4-4 with a 3.57 ERA in 10 starts, striking out 43 in 58 innings of work while walking only 18. The righty is consistent week in and week out. In 23 at-bats, L.A. has compiled a .304 average against Bibee. In one career start versus the defending World Series champions, Bibee held them to two earned runs across five frames. Also, the right-hander is lights out at Progressive Field, compiling a 1.46 ERA in 2025 in four appearances. He’s only surrendered four earned runs in over 24 innings on his home mound. Bibee will keep the Dodgers at bay in the second game of this series.

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Because of his huge platoon split, Dustin May will have a tough challenge going up against 8 hitters in the projected lineup who bat from the other side in today's matchup.. Because flyball batters hold a substantial advantage over groundball pitchers, Dustin May and his 47% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a troublesome spot in today's game facing 3 opposing GB batters.. Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Dustin May in today's matchup.. Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Dustin May has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 56.5% of the time, ranking in the 100th percentile.

Bo Naylor has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (97% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Because of Dustin May's huge platoon split, Bo Naylor will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.. Batters such as Bo Naylor with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Dustin May who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in MLB.. Because of Dustin May's huge platoon split, Kyle Manzardo will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball hitters like Kyle Manzardo are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Dustin May.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Hitters such as Jose Ramirez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Dustin May who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Carlos Santana is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.. Carlos Santana will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 4th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. The #5 stadium in baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field has the 4th-highest fence height (on average) in MLB.. Extreme groundball batters like Max Muncy tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Bibee.. Max Muncy will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Bo Naylor has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (97% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Because of Dustin May's huge platoon split, Bo Naylor will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.. Batters such as Bo Naylor with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Dustin May who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in MLB.. Because of Dustin May's huge platoon split, Kyle Manzardo will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball hitters like Kyle Manzardo are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Dustin May.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Hitters such as Jose Ramirez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Dustin May who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Hitters such as Jose Ramirez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Dustin May who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.