New York @ Los Angeles picks

The Los Angeles Angels are unique in that they are one of only three teams in baseball that have a below-league-average chase rate but a top-ten strikeout rate. That presents an interesting conundrum when facing a chase-reliant pitcher, such as the Yankees' Carlos Rodón, as they do tonight. We've identified some commonalities in his starts when facing teams that chase at a below-average rate, which has led us to our best bet: Under 17.5 outs at the attractive +130 price point. We should continue to expect some positive regression from the Angels offense this season, rating them the 8th unluckiest offense in the majors. It also notes that the Angels are well-equipped to take advantage of the hard-hit issues that Rodon still has in a homerun-rich environment because of heavy winds and a small park size. I expect the New York Yankees to win this game on the strength of their offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Trent Grisham as MLB's 19th-best home run hitter.. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Angel Stadium has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Trent Grisham's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (25.2°) is significantly higher than his 20.4° mark last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Yoan Moncada is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Angel Stadium has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

When estimating his home run ability, Jo Adell ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Angel Stadium has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Jo Adell will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Jorge Soler is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Angel Stadium has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Jorge Soler will have an advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Taylor Ward is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Angel Stadium has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Taylor Ward will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Zach Neto is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Angel Stadium has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Zach Neto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Angel Stadium has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Ben Rice has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last season's 90-mph EV.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.278) suggests that Ben Rice has had some very poor luck this year with his .244 actual batting average.

Angel Stadium has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Austin Wells has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last season's 88.4-mph average.. There has been a significant improvement in Austin Wells's launch angle from last year's 16.9° to 21.4° this year.. Austin Wells has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .205 mark is considerably lower than his .233 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

It may be wise to expect positive regression for the Los Angeles Angels offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 8th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.. Angel Stadium has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Carlos Rodon is an extreme flyball pitcher (40.6% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #9 HR venue in Major League Baseball today.. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Trent Grisham as MLB's 19th-best home run hitter.. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Angel Stadium has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Trent Grisham's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (25.2°) is significantly higher than his 20.4° mark last year.