Toronto @ Texas Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Nathan Lukes will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob deGrom in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Nathan Lukes generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jacob deGrom. Based on Statcast data, Nathan Lukes grades out in the 86th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .336.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Stefanic in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Extreme groundball batters like Michael Stefanic are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jacob deGrom.

Josh Smith is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Josh Smith will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Josh Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Josh Smith has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92.2-mph average to last season's 90-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jake Burger is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Jake Burger will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Alejandro Osuna will have an edge today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Alejandro Osuna will hold that advantage in today's game.

Sam Haggerty is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Sam Haggerty will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Sam Haggerty's quickness has gotten better this year. His 27.78 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.59 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Ernie Clement's launch angle this season (21°) is a significant increase over his 16.2° angle last season. In notching a .270 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Ernie Clement is positioned in the 77th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average talent. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.307) may lead us to conclude that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has had bad variance on his side this year with his .274 actual batting average. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded a .390 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, placing in the 99th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage in today's game. Marcus Semien's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (16.6°) is considerably higher than his 13.5° angle last year. Marcus Semien has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .175 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .238 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Bo Bichette is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bo Bichette is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Bo Bichette has made significant strides with his Barrel%, improving his 4.5% rate last season to 9.6% this season. Bo Bichette has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last year's 89.2-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. George Springer is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. George Springer has made big strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 9.3% rate last year to 18.1% this year. This season, George Springer has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97.8 mph compared to last year's 93.2 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Josh Jung has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Josh Jung has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.1-mph average to last season's 92.3-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Wyatt Langford will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Wyatt Langford has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.6-mph average to last season's 92.1-mph EV.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Addison Barger will have the handedness advantage over Jacob deGrom in today's matchup. Addison Barger has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 8.8% rate last year to 14.5% this year. Addison Barger has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last year's 88.1-mph average.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Jonah Heim will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an advantage in today's game. Daulton Varsho has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 6.4% rate last season to 22.6% this season. Daulton Varsho has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.1-mph average to last year's 86.1-mph mark.

Alejandro Kirk's batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Alejandro Kirk's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 42.3% to 50.9%. Alejandro Kirk has put up a .292 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Adolis Garcia's launch angle this year (21.6°) is a significant increase over his 14.8° angle last season. Adolis Garcia's 13.1% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) ranks in the 81st percentile this year.

Kyle Higashioka has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.