Toronto @ Texas picks

The Blue Jays played in Tampa on Sunday (losing 13-0 by the way) and traveled to Arlington immediately after, and will have to square up Jacob deGrom on Monday afternoon. Kevin Gausman's away ERA is 5.27 compared to 2.93 at home.

Jacob deGrom is healthy again, and he’s dealing. The right-hander is 4-1 in 10 starts, posting a 2.33 ERA. He’s struck out 62 in 58 innings of work while walking just 12 hitters. He’s gone Over his strikeout total in three consecutive outings, racking up nine, seven, and 10 strikeouts during that span. Those were all against good lineups, too. He faced the Yankees, Astros, and Tigers. 

It’s great to see Jacob deGrom back at the top of his game. There have been reports that he's lowered his arm slot, which he's said is helping with his recovery from start to start. Over his last three games, he has 26 punchouts over 20 innings. Looking at an even bigger sample, he has allowed just eight runs over his last seven games, with 29 hits over 43 innings. There is also a chance at fewer pitches today as he’s coming off his first 100-pitch game of the season.  The Toronto Blue Jays are anything but a potent offense and deGrom can hit this Under by dominating for seven innings or going 18 outs on 90 pitches. deGrom is back and that’s bad news for the Jays. He’s also +160 to record the win but this could be a classic pitcher's duel with Kevin Gausman coming off a great start.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average talent.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.307) may lead us to conclude that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has had bad variance on his side this year with his .274 actual batting average.

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today.. Batting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an advantage in today's game.. Daulton Varsho has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 6.4% rate last season to 22.6% this season.

Jake Burger projects as the 18th-best home run hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Burger is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today.. Jake Burger will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. George Springer is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today.. The Texas Rangers infield defense projects as the 10th-worst out of every team in action today.

In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today.. The Texas Rangers infield defense projects as the 10th-worst out of every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today.. Wyatt Langford will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today.. Batting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an advantage in today's game.. Daulton Varsho has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 6.4% rate last season to 22.6% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average talent.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.307) may lead us to conclude that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has had bad variance on his side this year with his .274 actual batting average.

In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today.. Jonah Heim will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jake Burger projects as the 18th-best home run hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Burger is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate today.. Jake Burger will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.