Boston @ Milwaukee picks

The Red Sox might not need too many runs today, as lefty Garrett Crochet has been excellent, going 2-1 over his last five starts, and his 1.98 ERA is seventh-best in baseball. Brewers right-hander Chad Patrick has been no slouch, authoring a 3.23 ERA across 11 outings.

The Red Sox boast the fifth-best slugging percentage against right-handed pitching and face one in Brewers SP Chad Patrick, who has pitched well (3.23 ERA) but doesn't blow anyone away (20.3% K rate). With Garrett Crochet toeing the rubber for Boston, take the plus money for at least a two-run victory.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Kristian Campbell has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (62% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. American Family Field has the 7th-lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Kristian Campbell's maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to study power) has been 112.2 mph this year, placing in the 80th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. American Family Field has the 7th-lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, William Contreras will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Carlos Narvaez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. American Family Field has the 7th-lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Carlos Narvaez has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .361.. With a 21.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Carlos Narvaez is positioned in the 76th percentile for power.

Rhys Hoskins is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB.. American Family Field has the 7th-lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Rhys Hoskins will have the upper hand today.. Extreme flyball bats like Rhys Hoskins usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Garrett Crochet.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 14th-best hitter in baseball.. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB.. American Family Field has the 7th-lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. Batting from the opposite that Chad Patrick throws from, Rafael Devers will have an advantage in today's game.

American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB.. American Family Field has the 7th-lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. Hitting from the opposite that Chad Patrick throws from, David Hamilton will have an edge today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 14th-best hitter in baseball.. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB.. American Family Field has the 7th-lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. Batting from the opposite that Chad Patrick throws from, Rafael Devers will have an advantage in today's game.

American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB.. American Family Field has the 7th-lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. Marcelo Mayer will hold the platoon advantage against Chad Patrick today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 14th-best hitter in baseball.. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB.. American Family Field has the 7th-lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. Batting from the opposite that Chad Patrick throws from, Rafael Devers will have an advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB.. American Family Field has the 7th-lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Christian Yelich will hold that advantage in today's matchup.