Baltimore @ Boston props

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today. Jarren Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 94.1-mph mark last season has dropped off to 91.2-mph. This season, there has been a decline in Jarren Duran's speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.6 ft/sec last year to 29.09 ft/sec currently.

Fenway Park projects as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Cedric Mullins will have the upper hand in today's game. Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Cedric Mullins are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Walker Buehler. There has been a significant improvement in Cedric Mullins's launch angle from last season's 21.5° to 24.9° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park projects as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage over Walker Buehler today. Ryan O'Hearn has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park projects as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the shallowest. Marcelo Mayer will have the handedness advantage over Dean Kremer in today's matchup. Marcelo Mayer will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 18th-best batter in baseball. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Fenway Park projects as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the shallowest. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage over Walker Buehler in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 14th-best hitter in the game. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Fenway Park projects as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage over Dean Kremer today. Rafael Devers has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park projects as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nick Sogard pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.8% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Nick Sogard will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The #4 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Trevor Story hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Trevor Story will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. This year, the hardest ball Trevor Story has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 111.7 mph (a reliable stat to study power), checking in at the 76th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Fenway Park projects as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the shallowest. Adley Rutschman has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last season's 89.5-mph figure.

The #4 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Jorge Mateo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Fenway Park projects as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the shallowest. Dylan Carlson has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 18.9° mark is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (89th percentile).

Ramon Urias is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The #4 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Ramon Urias hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Jackson Holliday's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Holliday has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (72% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park projects as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jackson Holliday will have the handedness advantage over Walker Buehler in today's matchup. Jackson Holliday has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today.

Kristian Campbell's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kristian Campbell is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #4 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest LF fences in the league are found in Fenway Park. Kristian Campbell will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The #4 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Emmanuel Rivera hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. In notching a .262 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Emmanuel Rivera is ranked in the 75th percentile. The standard deviation of Emmanuel Rivera's launch angle since the start of last season (24.6°) is in the 97th percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play.

Fenway Park projects as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the shallowest. David Hamilton will have the handedness advantage over Dean Kremer in today's game. David Hamilton will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The #4 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Ryan Mountcastle has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Compared to last season, Ryan Mountcastle has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.8% to 19.6% this season.

Heston Kjerstad's BABIP talent is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park projects as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Heston Kjerstad will have an advantage today. Heston Kjerstad has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Since the start of last season, Heston Kjerstad's flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 88th percentile at 95.1 mph.

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP skill is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #4 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Ceddanne Rafaela hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Ceddanne Rafaela has made big gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 7.6% rate last season to 14% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Fenway Park projects as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand in today's game. Wilyer Abreu pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park projects as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the shallowest. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Abraham Toro will hold that advantage in today's game. Abraham Toro has been hot recently, cruising to a .358 wOBA in the past week's worth of games.

Carlos Narvaez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (97% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. The #4 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Carlos Narvaez has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Carlos Narvaez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Carlos Narvaez has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .361.