San Diego @ Atlanta picks
Truist Park
SD vs ATL Picks
MLB PicksDylan Cease has underperformed his projections as his 4.50 ERA is a full run higher than his FIP (3.50). Considering the second-year San Diego Padres hurler’s xERA is also down at 3.57, it’d be surprising if we don’t see his actual ERA creep down soon. Spencer Schwellenbach had a breakout rookie season in 2024, sporting a 3.35 ERA across 21 starts. He’s responded with a 3.52 ERA this season, making the 24-year-old one of the game’s best young pitchers. He’s been at the top of his game at home, notching a 2.63 ERA and 2.96 xFIP at Truist Park.
Total RBIs

Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The #4 park in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.
Total RBIs

Austin Riley o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Austin Riley as the league's 15th-best home run hitter.. Austin Riley is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 park in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.
Total RBIs

Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 park in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.
Total RBIs

Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 10th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The #4 park in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.
Total RBIs

Drake Baldwin o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Drake Baldwin has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (70% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP.. The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.
Total RBIs

Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Matt Olson projects as the 14th-best home run hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP.. The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.
Total RBIs

Gavin Sheets o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP.. The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.
Outs Recorded

Dylan Cease u17.5 Outs Recorded (+100)
Projection 15.8 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The 2nd-best projected offense on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability belongs to the Atlanta Braves.. It may be best to expect positive regression for the Atlanta Braves offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 7th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Martin Maldonado (the Padres's expected catcher today) profiles as a weak pitch framer.. Truist Park projects as the #4 venue in the game for BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Marcell Ozuna o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+115)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 park in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.
Total Bases

Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 5th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. The #4 park in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.