Cleveland @ Detroit picks

Casey Mize is expected to return after a stint on the IL but it was a mild hamstring injury and he threw a five-inning simulated game on Monday. Mize is 6-1 with a 2.53 ERA while Cleveland starter Luis L. Ortiz has an xERA of 5.11 though nine starts. The Tigers are seventh in the majors in OPS (.742) while the Guardians are just 23rd (.688). Detroit is 17-7 at home and is in a good spot to bounce back after losing the first two games of this series. Getting them at -130 on the ML is a bargain when you consider that they have the superior starter, better hitting, and home-field advantage.

When assessing his home run ability, Kyle Manzardo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an edge in today's matchup.

Jose Ramirez's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.

Jose Ramirez's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.

Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.. Bo Naylor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Mize in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball bats like Bo Naylor are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Casey Mize.

When assessing his home run ability, Kyle Manzardo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an edge in today's matchup.

Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today.. Jhonkensy Noel has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91-mph average to last year's 88.6-mph figure.

Jose Ramirez's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.

Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.. Jake Rogers will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Jake Rogers has been unlucky in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 16.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is significantly deflated relative to his 23.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.