Baltimore @ Milwaukee picks
American Family Field
BAL vs MIL Picks
MLB Picks
Total Home Runs


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Orioles send Dean Kremer to the hill vs. Milwaukee. The right-hander is struggling immensely, posting a 3-5 record and a 5.36 ERA while giving up 10 homers. Jake Bauers is 3-for-9 lifetime against Kremer with two bombs. All three of his home runs this season have come against right-handed hurlers as well, and we're getting great value at +500.
Total RBIs

Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. Jackson Chourio hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Gunnar Henderson projects as the 19th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The American Family Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.
Total RBIs

William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive skill, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Rhys Hoskins o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Rhys Hoskins is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in American Family Field.. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Rhys Hoskins will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.. Rhys Hoskins has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 93.6-mph over the past two weeks.
Total RBIs

Christian Yelich o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Christian Yelich's BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Yelich is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in American Family Field.. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Christian Yelich will have the handedness advantage against Dean Kremer in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Ramon Laureano o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 86th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Ramon Laureano has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (65% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in American Family Field.. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Ramon Laureano has big-time power (86th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (28% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Quinn Priester doesn't generate many whiffs (18th percentile K%) — great news for Laureano.
Total RBIs

Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage against Quinn Priester in today's game.. There has been a significant improvement in Cedric Mullins's launch angle from last season's 21.5° to 24.9° this year.. Posting a .309 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Cedric Mullins finds himself in the 78th percentile.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jake Bauers o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The American Family Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage against Dean Kremer in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Caleb Durbin o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. Caleb Durbin hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Caleb Durbin will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. In the past week, Caleb Durbin's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 1.2% up to 12.5%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Cedric Mullins o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+115)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage against Quinn Priester in today's game.. There has been a significant improvement in Cedric Mullins's launch angle from last season's 21.5° to 24.9° this year.. Posting a .309 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Cedric Mullins finds himself in the 78th percentile.