Detroit @ Toronto picks

Despite an inconsistent start to the season for right-hander José Berríos, the Jays starter has historically dominated Detroit, holding hitters to a .219 batting average and .618 OPS over 64 at-bats. With Tigers starter Jackson Jobe struggling with control (27-20 K:BB ratio), back Toronto to secure the win at home.

Yesterday's 8th inning hit was Kirk’s 22nd over his last 17 games, during which the Jays’ backstop is hitting .361 over that stretch. Of the 22 hits, 18 have been singles. That’s where I see value in betting the Kirk market. He’s been one of the best contact hitters in baseball this season, ranking in the 91st percentile in xBA and the 94th percentile in squared-up rate. If Kirk gets hold of one this afternoon, let’s be honest, there’s a strong chance he’s only picking up one bag off the crack of the bat. The Tigers are sending top-pitching prospect Jackson Jobe to the mound for his 8th career start. His road struggles are another significant reason as to why I have faith in Kirk finding a way to knock out a single this afternoon. 

When assessing his batting average ability, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 2nd-best venue in the league for RHB home runs.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for lefty home runs.. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences in the majors.. Daulton Varsho will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jackson Jobe today.. Daulton Varsho will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Zach McKinstry is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for lefty home runs.. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Zach McKinstry will have the upper hand today.. Zach McKinstry hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. Zach McKinstry has recorded a .286 batting average this year, ranking in the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for lefty home runs.. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences in the majors.. Colt Keith will have the handedness advantage over Jose Berrios today.

Gleyber Torres's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Gleyber Torres is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 2nd-best venue in the league for RHB home runs.. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences in the majors.. Gleyber Torres has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.1-mph EV.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 2nd-best venue in the league for RHB home runs.. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences in the majors.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and George Springer will hold that advantage today.

When assessing his home run ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 2nd-best venue in the league for RHB home runs.. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences in the majors.. Hitters such as Spencer Torkelson with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jose Berrios who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for lefty home runs.. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences in the majors.. Anthony Santander will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.8°, Anthony Santander has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 51° figure over the last week.

When assessing his batting average ability, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 2nd-best venue in the league for RHB home runs.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for lefty home runs.. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences in the majors.. Daulton Varsho will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jackson Jobe today.. Daulton Varsho will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.