Minnesota @ Milwaukee picks

I'm going to ride the Minnesota Twins wagon until the wheels fall off. This team has won 11 straight games, and now get to face Chad Patrick, who has been hit hard this season, despite what his 3.19 ERA says. I say the Twins stay hot and extend the winning streak to 12. 

The Twins will give the pill to Joe Ryan who has a 2.74 ERA through eight starts. He should have no problem shutting down a Brewers lineup that is 24th in the majors in OPS (.665) and 27th in run first inning rate (22.7%). Milwaukee has been even worse lately, ranking dead-last in OPS (.589) over the last 15 days. The Brewers will send rookie Chad Patrick and his 3.19 ERA to the hill. Patrick has looked extremely sharp at the beginning of games, pitching to a 0.75 ERA through the first three innings. 

Joe Ryan is a great pitcher but he is not a 100-pitch pitcher right now in his career. He has a road start vs. the Brewers today, and THE BAT is projecting just 91 pitches and 16.7 outs. It is one of the best +EV pitcher out plays from the projections. Ryan has topped 95 pitches just two times this season and hit this Under in four of his first five starts before hitting the Over three times in a row. He threw just 76 pitches in his last turn Over 18 outs, so the Twins have very little interest in pushing him past the sixth inning, if he does get there at all. The plus money here is the appetizing part. I’d buy this to +100/+105.

As it relates to his home run skill, Jake Bauers ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. American Family Field has the 6th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate.. Because of Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Jake Bauers will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.

Willi Castro is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. American Family Field has the 6th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Chad Patrick in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The 7th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 6th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Ty France is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The 7th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 6th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate.

Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The 7th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 6th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate.. Posting a .289 Isolated Power (ISO) since the start of last season, Ryan Jeffers is ranked in the 76th percentile.

Brooks Lee has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. American Family Field has the 6th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Brooks Lee will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Chad Patrick in this game.

As it relates to his home run skill, Jake Bauers ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. American Family Field has the 6th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate.. Because of Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Jake Bauers will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.

Rhys Hoskins is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. The 7th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 6th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate.. Rhys Hoskins will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. The 7th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 6th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. William Contreras is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. American Family Field has the 6th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate.