Seattle @ San Diego picks

The Padres’ infield ranks dead-last in Outs Above Average, and no other team has come close. The Giants rank 29th with a mark of -9, and San Diego stands at -14 OAA. This infield has made 18 errors. Stephen Kolek owns an extremely high 59.5% ground-ball rate, and with that number remaining above 55% at all levels in the past three seasons, we can safely say there will be plenty of balls hit on the ground. The Mariners rank five spots higher in OPS to ground-ball pitchers this season than the reverse. Kolek has never been a big-time strikeout arm, either, and he’s had some issues with walks at his stops.

Cal Raleigh projects as the 7th-best home run hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. In MLB, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Extreme groundball batters like Cal Raleigh tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.. Cal Raleigh has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 15.5% rate last season to 20.5% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. In MLB, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Extreme groundball hitters like Jorge Polanco usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.. The Barrel% of Jorge Polanco has significantly improved, with an increase from 9% last year to 15.2% this year.

Manny Machado's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. In MLB, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams today.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors.. In MLB, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Julio Rodriguez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.2-mph to 96.9-mph in the last 7 days.

Cal Raleigh projects as the 7th-best home run hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. In MLB, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Extreme groundball batters like Cal Raleigh tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.. Cal Raleigh has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 15.5% rate last season to 20.5% this year.

In MLB, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Stephen Kolek throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an advantage today.. Rowdy Tellez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Rowdy Tellez has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.1% rate last season to 15.5% this season.. Rowdy Tellez's launch angle lately (52° in the past week) is significantly higher than his 15.1° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. In MLB, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Extreme groundball hitters like Jorge Polanco usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.. The Barrel% of Jorge Polanco has significantly improved, with an increase from 9% last year to 15.2% this year.