Tampa Bay @ Toronto picks

It's tough to trust the Jays' bullpen right now, but Kevin Gausman should do enough to dominate this weak-hitting Rays side. He's given up just three runs across his last two starts, and while the Jays were held to just three runs on Wednesday, the bats have been hot. 

Kevin Gausman has been tough to square up at the Rogers Centre this season, where Gausman is pitching to a 2.00 ERA while limiting opponents to a .161 batting average and striking out 29.2% of batters faced. I like Gausman to keep that trend going against the Rays. Tampa Bay ranks 23rd in OPS and 16th in wRC+ while having the eighth-highest strikeout rate vs. right-handed pitching this season.

Kevin Gausman’s ERA sits at 2.00 at home in three appearances in 2025, surrendering a mere four earned runs in 18 innings. He’s a mile better at the Rogers Centre compared to on the road. He blanked the Guardians over six IP in his last home start.

When it comes to his home run skill, Christopher Morel ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christopher Morel is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.. Christopher Morel hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in the league as it relates to his batting average ability.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Junior Caminero hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. Extreme groundball batters like Junior Caminero generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kevin Gausman.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The #2 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences in the league.. Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have an advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 87th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. The #2 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Brandon Lowe hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #2 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences in the league.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage today.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences in the league.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The #2 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest CF fences in the league.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an edge today.

When it comes to his home run skill, Christopher Morel ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christopher Morel is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Christopher Morel hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Junior Caminero hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. Extreme groundball batters like Junior Caminero generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kevin Gausman.