Boston @ Detroit picks

Javier Baez is undoubtedly one of the best stories in the big leagues. After falling off a cliff over his first few years with the Tigers, he’s back in business in 2025. The veteran is hitting .319 with five home runs, and he just went deep twice in Tuesday’s win over the Boston Red Sox. Both were three-run bombs, with one coming in the bottom of the 11th to win the game. The former first-round pick has all five of his homers in the last 10 games. He’s really heating up, and Tuesday’s performance is only going to fuel him more.

Skubal has only allowed 37 hits, cashing the Under on his 'hits allowed' line in five of his last six outings — giving up only two knocks last time out against the Rangers and four before that to the Angels.

Twenty-five points aren't a lot to pay for this total, which is past the key number of 17.5. Tarik Skubal projects for 17.5 outs but coming out for the seventh inning is a tough ask vs. this Boston offense. Skubal is an elite pitcher, but he is also not a starter who throws 95+ pitches every five days. He is coming off a season-high 96 pitches and is 6-2 to the Under on this total this season. It’s actually a good spot to add Under 4.5 hits for +218 as the books think the two props are negatively correlated.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have an edge in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Trevor Story will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell as the 13th-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP ability.. Kristian Campbell is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Kristian Campbell will have the upper hand today.

Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Nick Sogard will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Tarik Skubal in today's game.. By putting up a .261 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Nick Sogard finds himself in the 79th percentile.

Rafael Devers projects as the 20th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.

Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Carlos Narvaez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's game.. Over the past 7 days, Carlos Narvaez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89-mph over the course of the season to 105.8-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have an edge in today's game.