Final May 11
CHC 2 +113 o8.0
NYM 6 -122 u8.0
Final May 11
STL 6 +126 o9.0
WAS 1 -137 u9.0
Final May 11
ATL 3 -213 o8.0
PIT 4 +193 u8.0
Final May 11
TEX 6 +102 o7.0
DET 1 -110 u7.0
Final May 11
MIL 4 +118 o9.0
TB 2 -127 u9.0
Final (10) May 11
SF 6 +140 o8.5
MIN 7 -152 u8.5
Final May 11
MIA 2 -130 o8.0
CHW 4 +120 u8.0
Final May 11
CIN 0 +127 o8.5
HOU 6 -138 u8.5
Final May 11
BOS 3 +117 o8.5
KC 1 -127 u8.5
Final May 11
SD 3 -301 o11.5
COL 9 +267 u11.5
Final May 11
NYY 12 -146 o11.0
ATH 2 +134 u11.0
Final May 11
BAL 7 -141 o9.0
LAA 3 +130 u9.0
Final May 11
TOR 9 +153 o8.0
SEA 1 -167 u8.0
Final May 11
LAD 8 -115 o9.5
AZ 1 +107 u9.5
Final May 11
PHI 3 -158 o7.5
CLE 0 +145 u7.5

Arizona @ San Francisco props

Oracle Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

LaMonte Wade Jr. Total Hits Props • San Francisco

L. Wade Jr.
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. LaMonte Wade Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's game. LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like LaMonte Wade Jr. tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Merrill Kelly. LaMonte Wade Jr. will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

LaMonte Wade Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. LaMonte Wade Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's game. LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like LaMonte Wade Jr. tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Merrill Kelly. LaMonte Wade Jr. will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Patrick Bailey will get to bat from his good side against Merrill Kelly in today's game. Patrick Bailey will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 15.4% to 25.4%. Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 25.4% on the season to 29.2% over the last 14 days.

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Patrick Bailey will get to bat from his good side against Merrill Kelly in today's game. Patrick Bailey will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 15.4% to 25.4%. Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 25.4% on the season to 29.2% over the last 14 days.

Willy Adames Total Hits Props • San Francisco

W. Adames
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-233
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-233
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Willy Adames is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Bats such as Willy Adames with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Merrill Kelly who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage today.

Willy Adames

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Willy Adames is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Bats such as Willy Adames with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Merrill Kelly who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage today.

Wilmer Flores Total Hits Props • San Francisco

W. Flores
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

Wilmer Flores is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Extreme flyball batters like Wilmer Flores generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Merrill Kelly. Wilmer Flores will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Wilmer Flores

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Wilmer Flores is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Extreme flyball batters like Wilmer Flores generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Merrill Kelly. Wilmer Flores will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona

A. Thomas
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Justin Verlander throws from, Alek Thomas will have an advantage today. Hitters such as Alek Thomas with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Justin Verlander who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants. Alek Thomas has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.6-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 93.2-mph EV.

Alek Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Justin Verlander throws from, Alek Thomas will have an advantage today. Hitters such as Alek Thomas with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Justin Verlander who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants. Alek Thomas has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.6-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 93.2-mph EV.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona

L. Gurriel Jr.
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-244
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-244
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants. Over the past 7 days, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.5% up to 15.8%. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 92.9-mph.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants. Over the past 7 days, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.5% up to 15.8%. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 92.9-mph.

Mike Yastrzemski Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Yastrzemski
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Mike Yastrzemski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly today. Mike Yastrzemski pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Mike Yastrzemski usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Merrill Kelly.

Mike Yastrzemski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Mike Yastrzemski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly today. Mike Yastrzemski pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Mike Yastrzemski usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Merrill Kelly.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Chapman
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-204
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-204
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Extreme groundball hitters like Matt Chapman are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Merrill Kelly. Matt Chapman will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Extreme groundball hitters like Matt Chapman are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Merrill Kelly. Matt Chapman will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Pavin Smith Total Hits Props • Arizona

P. Smith
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-133
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-133
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Pavin Smith is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Justin Verlander throws from, Pavin Smith will have an edge today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.

Pavin Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Pavin Smith is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Justin Verlander throws from, Pavin Smith will have an edge today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.

Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona

G. Moreno
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-255
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-255
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Gabriel Moreno has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Hitters such as Gabriel Moreno with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Justin Verlander who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.

Gabriel Moreno

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Gabriel Moreno has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Hitters such as Gabriel Moreno with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Justin Verlander who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.

Jung Hoo Lee Total Hits Props • San Francisco

J. Lee
center outfield CF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-256
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-256
Projection Rating

When estimating his batting average skill, Jung Hoo Lee is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jung Hoo Lee is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Jung Hoo Lee will have an edge today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jung Hoo Lee will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jung Hoo Lee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his batting average skill, Jung Hoo Lee is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jung Hoo Lee is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Jung Hoo Lee will have an edge today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jung Hoo Lee will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 12th-best hitter in the majors. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.

Ketel Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 12th-best hitter in the majors. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.

Christian Koss Total Hits Props • San Francisco

C. Koss
second base 2B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Christian Koss will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past week, Christian Koss's 70% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 38.7%.

Christian Koss

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Christian Koss will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past week, Christian Koss's 70% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 38.7%.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Carroll
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Justin Verlander throws from, Corbin Carroll will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Justin Verlander throws from, Corbin Carroll will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.

Heliot Ramos Total Hits Props • San Francisco

H. Ramos
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-233
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-233
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Heliot Ramos has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Heliot Ramos will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Heliot Ramos has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.1% seasonal rate to 19.2% in the past two weeks.

Heliot Ramos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Heliot Ramos has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Heliot Ramos will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Heliot Ramos has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.1% seasonal rate to 19.2% in the past two weeks.

Eugenio Suarez Total Hits Props • Arizona

E. Suarez
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants. Eugenio Suarez is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of San Francisco (#3-worst on the slate today).

Eugenio Suarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants. Eugenio Suarez is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of San Francisco (#3-worst on the slate today).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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