Los Angeles @ San Diego Picks & Props

The #6 park in baseball for suppressing batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to less offense. This game is expected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Because of Yusei Kikuchi's large platoon split, Luis Arraez will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 87.9-mph figure last season has fallen off to 85.3-mph.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Logan O'Hoppe ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Logan O'Hoppe is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Logan O'Hoppe hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. The Barrel% of Logan O'Hoppe has significantly improved, with an increase from 12% last year to 19.7% this season. Last season, Logan O'Hoppe had an average launch angle of 16° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 24.5°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Yoan Moncada is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The switch-hitting Yoan Moncada will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Michael King. Yoan Moncada has been hot lately, notching a a 30% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) over the last 7 days. Yoan Moncada has been hot in recent games, notching a 93.6-mph average exit velocity in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Taylor Ward is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Over the last 14 days, Taylor Ward has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 14.7% to 27.3%. Taylor Ward's launch angle this year (21.3°) is quite a bit higher than his 17.3° figure last year. Taylor Ward's launch angle of late (29.9° over the past 14 days) is significantly higher than his 21.3° seasonal figure.

The #6 venue in the league for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to less offense. This game is expected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Fernando Tatis Jr. has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 16.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last 7 days. There has been a significant decline in Fernando Tatis Jr.'s launch angle from last season's 9.7° to 6° this season.

The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park. Kyren Paris has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 94-mph over the last two weeks. Kyren Paris's launch angle lately (48.3° over the past week) is quite a bit higher than his 16.4° seasonal figure. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.210) suggests that Kyren Paris has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .183 actual batting average.

The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Zach Neto ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Zach Neto is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park. Zach Neto has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 99.5-mph average to last season's 94.5-mph EV. Compared to last season, Zach Neto has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 40.6% to 56.9% this season.

The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park. Jo Adell has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 13.7% seasonal rate to 30% in the past week's worth of games. In the past week's worth of games, Jo Adell's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.1-mph over the course of the season to 106.5-mph recently. Jo Adell has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .206 mark is a fair amount lower than his .235 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park. Because of Yusei Kikuchi's large platoon split, Xander Bogaerts will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage today.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage in today's game. Gavin Sheets has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.1-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 92.1-mph figure.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jorge Soler ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Jorge Soler hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jorge Soler has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 93.7-mph. Jorge Soler's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (16.9° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 8.8° seasonal mark.

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Tim Anderson is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Batters such as Tim Anderson with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Michael King who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Tim Anderson has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 88.1-mph average to last season's 85.9-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Manny Machado will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's game... and even more favorably, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.279) may lead us to conclude that Jake Cronenworth has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .244 actual batting average. Jake Cronenworth has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (an important talent for batting average), placing in the 82nd percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

Nolan Schanuel's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nolan Schanuel is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Nolan Schanuel will have an edge today. Nolan Schanuel has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.7-mph to 94.4-mph in the past 7 days.

Travis d'Arnaud has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 25.52 ft/sec to 26.32 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Since the start of last season, Travis d'Arnaud's flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to study power) is in the 86th percentile at 94.9 mph.

When estimating his batting average skill, Jackson Merrill is projected as the 12th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage in today's game. Jackson Merrill has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 11.4% rate last year to 24.4% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Luis Rengifo hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Hitters such as Luis Rengifo with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Michael King who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. In the last week, Luis Rengifo's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90-mph over the course of the season to 103.8-mph recently. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luis Rengifo's true offensive skill to be a .295, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .061 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .234 wOBA.

The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park. Considering Yusei Kikuchi's large platoon split, Elias Diaz will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Elias Diaz will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Elias Diaz's launch angle from last year's 7.3° to 16.1° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lockridge in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Brandon Lockridge will hold the platoon advantage over Yusei Kikuchi in today's game... and the cherry on top, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Brandon Lockridge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Brandon Lockridge will hold that advantage today. Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.76 ft/sec this year, Brandon Lockridge is notably toolsy.

Tyler Wade has gone over 0.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.