Milwaukee @ Tampa Bay props

George M. Steinbrenner Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Brandon Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Brandon Lowe
B. Lowe
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Brandon Lowe pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Brandon Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Brandon Lowe pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Jackson Chourio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Jackson Chourio
J. Chourio
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Zack Littell will have the handedness advantage over Jackson Chourio in today's matchup. Jackson Chourio hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-deepest CF fences today. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams in action today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jackson Chourio in today's game. Jackson Chourio has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past 7 days.

Jackson Chourio

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Zack Littell will have the handedness advantage over Jackson Chourio in today's matchup. Jackson Chourio hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-deepest CF fences today. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams in action today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jackson Chourio in today's game. Jackson Chourio has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past 7 days.

Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Brice Turang
B. Turang
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) and will be challenged by the league's 7th-deepest LF fences in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams in action today. Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Brice Turang has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 8.4% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week. Brice Turang's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 14% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

Brice Turang

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) and will be challenged by the league's 7th-deepest LF fences in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams in action today. Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Brice Turang has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 8.4% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week. Brice Turang's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 14% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

Christian Yelich Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Christian Yelich
C. Yelich
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Christian Yelich has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) but may find it hard to clear the game's 7th-deepest LF fences in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams in action today. Christian Yelich will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Christian Yelich's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 91.6-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 84.5-mph over the past two weeks. Christian Yelich's launch angle this year (0.2°) is quite a bit worse than his 5.1° angle last season.

Christian Yelich

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Christian Yelich has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) but may find it hard to clear the game's 7th-deepest LF fences in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams in action today. Christian Yelich will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Christian Yelich's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 91.6-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 84.5-mph over the past two weeks. Christian Yelich's launch angle this year (0.2°) is quite a bit worse than his 5.1° angle last season.

Yandy Diaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Yandy Diaz
Y. Diaz
first base 1B • Tampa Bay
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Typically, bats like Yandy Diaz who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Jose Quintana. Yandy Diaz's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (0.3° over the past 14 days) is significantly worse than his 3.5° seasonal mark.

Yandy Diaz

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Typically, bats like Yandy Diaz who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Jose Quintana. Yandy Diaz's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (0.3° over the past 14 days) is significantly worse than his 3.5° seasonal mark.

Junior Caminero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Junior Caminero
J. Caminero
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Junior Caminero hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 5th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Typically, bats like Junior Caminero who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Jose Quintana. Junior Caminero has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 9.9% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week. Junior Caminero's average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 91.8-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 81.5-mph over the last week. Junior Caminero's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (4.2°) is significantly lower than his 9.3° mark last year.

Junior Caminero

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Junior Caminero hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 5th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Typically, bats like Junior Caminero who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Jose Quintana. Junior Caminero has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 9.9% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week. Junior Caminero's average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 91.8-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 81.5-mph over the last week. Junior Caminero's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (4.2°) is significantly lower than his 9.3° mark last year.

Taylor Walls Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Taylor Walls
T. Walls
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Jose Quintana. Taylor Walls will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Taylor Walls has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 3.4% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the past 14 days.

Taylor Walls

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Jose Quintana. Taylor Walls will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Taylor Walls has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 3.4% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the past 14 days.

Chandler Simpson Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Chandler Simpson
C. Simpson
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When assessing his batting average talent, Chandler Simpson is projected as the 20th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Chandler Simpson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Chandler Simpson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his batting average talent, Chandler Simpson is projected as the 20th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Chandler Simpson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

William Contreras
W. Contreras
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Zack Littell will hold the platoon advantage against William Contreras in today's game. In today's matchup, William Contreras is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.6% rate (94th percentile). The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams in action today. William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. William Contreras has struggled with his Barrel%; his 10% rate last year has lowered to 2.9% this year.

William Contreras

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Zack Littell will hold the platoon advantage against William Contreras in today's game. In today's matchup, William Contreras is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.6% rate (94th percentile). The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams in action today. William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. William Contreras has struggled with his Barrel%; his 10% rate last year has lowered to 2.9% this year.

Sal Frelick Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Sal Frelick
S. Frelick
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Sal Frelick will have the handedness advantage against Zack Littell in today's matchup. Hitters such as Sal Frelick with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Zack Littell who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Sal Frelick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Sal Frelick will have the handedness advantage against Zack Littell in today's matchup. Hitters such as Sal Frelick with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Zack Littell who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Danny Jansen
D. Jansen
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Danny Jansen has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Danny Jansen will have the handedness advantage over Jose Quintana today. Extreme groundball hitters like Danny Jansen are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jose Quintana.

Danny Jansen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Danny Jansen has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Danny Jansen will have the handedness advantage over Jose Quintana today. Extreme groundball hitters like Danny Jansen are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jose Quintana.

Caleb Durbin Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Caleb Durbin
C. Durbin
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

Caleb Durbin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

Jake Bauers Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Jake Bauers
J. Bauers
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Littell in today's matchup. Jake Bauers pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Jake Bauers has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10.5% rate last season to 18.5% this season.

Jake Bauers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Littell in today's matchup. Jake Bauers pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Jake Bauers has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10.5% rate last season to 18.5% this season.

Isaac Collins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Isaac Collins
I. Collins
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Isaac Collins has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (53% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Isaac Collins pulls many of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

Isaac Collins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Isaac Collins has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (53% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Isaac Collins pulls many of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

Jose Caballero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Jose Caballero
J. Caballero
right outfield RF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Jose Caballero will have the upper hand today. Jose Caballero will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Compared to last year, Jose Caballero has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.9% to 53.7% this season.

Jose Caballero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Jose Caballero will have the upper hand today. Jose Caballero will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Compared to last year, Jose Caballero has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.9% to 53.7% this season.

Christopher Morel Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Christopher Morel
C. Morel
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Christopher Morel ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Christopher Morel will have the handedness advantage over Jose Quintana in today's game.

Christopher Morel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Christopher Morel ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Christopher Morel will have the handedness advantage over Jose Quintana in today's game.

Curtis Mead Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Curtis Mead
C. Mead
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Curtis Mead will have an edge in today's game. Curtis Mead has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Curtis Mead will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Curtis Mead

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Curtis Mead will have an edge in today's game. Curtis Mead has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Curtis Mead will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Rhys Hoskins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Rhys Hoskins
R. Hoskins
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Rhys Hoskins is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Rhys Hoskins has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 12.6% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 14 days. Rhys Hoskins has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph to 93.7-mph over the past two weeks.

Rhys Hoskins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Rhys Hoskins is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Rhys Hoskins has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 12.6% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 14 days. Rhys Hoskins has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph to 93.7-mph over the past two weeks.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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