Baltimore @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles. Kyren Paris will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Kyren Paris has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 88.3-mph figure. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Kyren Paris's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 18.4% up to 15.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Yoan Moncada is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Yoan Moncada will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Tomoyuki Sugano in this game. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Logan O'Hoppe ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Logan O'Hoppe is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Logan O'Hoppe will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Taylor Ward is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Bats such as Taylor Ward with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Angels. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gunnar Henderson today. Gunnar Henderson has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.9% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days. In the last week's worth of games, Gunnar Henderson's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 9.2%.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. In the last week, Coby Mayo has posted a 68° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Zach Neto is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles. Zach Neto will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles. Travis d'Arnaud will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Travis d'Arnaud's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 41.4% to 50%. Travis d'Arnaud's quickness has increased this season. His 25.52 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.23 ft/sec now.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jorge Soler ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jorge Soler will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Ramon Laureano has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 99.9-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 91.5-mph EV. Checking in at the 82nd percentile, Ramon Laureano has notched a .321 BABIP since the start of last season.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jo Adell will hold that advantage in today's game. Jo Adell's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 38.3% to 47.8%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.235) provides evidence that Jo Adell has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .203 actual batting average.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. As it relates to his batting average, Emmanuel Rivera has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .246 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .265.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Ryan Mountcastle is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Ryan Mountcastle has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 15% seasonal rate to 20% over the past 7 days. Ryan Mountcastle has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.4-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 93.2-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Ryan O'Hearn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Hendricks today. Over the last 14 days, Ryan O'Hearn has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 13.7% to 27.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Nolan Schanuel is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Nolan Schanuel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Jackson Holliday will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Hendricks in today's matchup. Jackson Holliday has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7.5% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last week. Jackson Holliday has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 99-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 90.3-mph average.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Adley Rutschman's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, going from 51.1% on the season to 66.7% in the last 14 days. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Adley Rutschman has had some very poor luck this year. His .296 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .351.

Cedric Mullins is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Cedric Mullins will have the upper hand in today's game. There has been a significant improvement in Cedric Mullins's launch angle from last year's 21.5° to 25° this year. Compared to his seasonal average of 25°, Cedric Mullins has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 28.8° figure over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles. Luis Rengifo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .232 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Luis Rengifo has experienced some negative variance given the .061 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .293.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Heston Kjerstad will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Hendricks in today's matchup. Heston Kjerstad has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.8-mph to 93.3-mph over the past 7 days. Heston Kjerstad has been unlucky this year, notching a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .313 — a .055 gap.