Cleveland @ Washington picks
Nationals Park
CLE vs WAS Picks
MLB Picks
Outs Recorded

Pick made: 2 months ago

Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
Luis Ortiz got his start pushed back because of the rain yesterday, but he will be asked to get through six innings in the first game of today’s doubleheader. It’s a road matchup, but it’s an easy one vs. the Washington Nationals. He has been getting a long leash this year, going 100+ pitches in two of his last four games. He has gone Over this number in three of his last five while also striking out 31 batters over his last 21 innings. It might be unsustainable, but the punchout has helped him out a lot of late. This total has already moved from 15.5 to 16.5, and THE BAT is projecting 17.1 total outs from the Cleveland right-hander.
Total RBIs

James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.. Considering Luis Ortiz's large platoon split, James Wood will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Bo Naylor o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Bo Naylor will have an advantage in today's game.. Bo Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball hitters like Bo Naylor tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jake Irvin.. Over the last week, Bo Naylor's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.7% up to 30%.
Total RBIs

Jhonkensy Noel o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Jhonkensy Noel is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.. Jhonkensy Noel has strong power (87th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (27.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jake Irvin doesn't generate many whiffs (21st percentile K%) — great news for Noel.. Jhonkensy Noel pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Jhonkensy Noel has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.7-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 94.6-mph.
Total RBIs

Kyle Manzardo o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Manzardo is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.. Kyle Manzardo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's game.. Kyle Manzardo pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball bats like Kyle Manzardo usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jake Irvin.
Total RBIs

Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.. Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (41.4% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Batters such as Jose Ramirez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jake Irvin who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Total RBIs

Daniel Schneemann o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Daniel Schneemann is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. In Major League Baseball, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 8th-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.. Daniel Schneemann will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today's matchup.. The Barrel% of Daniel Schneemann has significantly improved, with an increase from 4.8% last year to 20.9% this season.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Kyle Manzardo o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Manzardo is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.. Kyle Manzardo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's game.. Kyle Manzardo pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball bats like Kyle Manzardo usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jake Irvin.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Bo Naylor o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+115)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Bo Naylor will have an advantage in today's game.. Bo Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball hitters like Bo Naylor tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jake Irvin.. Over the last week, Bo Naylor's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.7% up to 30%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jose Ramirez o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 2.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.. Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (41.4% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Batters such as Jose Ramirez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jake Irvin who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

James Wood o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.. Considering Luis Ortiz's large platoon split, James Wood will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.