Los Angeles @ Miami Picks & Props

LAD vs MIA Picks

MLB Picks
Total
Los Angeles Dodgers logo Miami Marlins logo o9.5 (+100)
Pick made: 7 months ago
Kenny Ducey image
Kenny Ducey
Betting Analyst

The Dodgers are yet again one of the top teams in baseball versus ground-ball arms, and Sandy Alcantara has been giving up very well-struck grounders to the tune of a .302 xBA. The strikeout and walk numbers are almost identical, which you never want to see, and the Dodgers remain one of the best teams in the league in both categories. With the moneyline out of reach, I’m going to have to side with the total here. Miami is at a disadvantage against a fly-ball arm, but remains capable of hitting for enough power to get to a patchwork group of Dodgers pitchers. Alcantara, meanwhile, has shown no signs of life.

Total Home Runs
Freddie Freeman logo Freddie Freeman o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Freddie Freeman has a track record of success against Marlins right-hander Sandy Alcantara. He’s 9-for-32 lifetime (.281) with a pair of doubles. All six of his home runs in 2025 have come against right-handed hurlers and he has two bombs in his last four games to go along with a nine-game hitting streak. 

MoneyLine
Miami Marlins logo MIA (+150)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

This can go poorly, I know. However, the Dodgers played on Sunday Night Baseball and are turning to reliever Ben Casparius as the opener, and while he's generally been effective, it's more emblematic of L.A. rolling out a bullpen game. Marlins SP Sandy Alcantara has been awful, but he's still working his way back from a long injury absence. I can't expect him to do as poorly at home as he did in Dodger Stadium, so grab the plus-money value on the Marlins.

Strikeouts Thrown
Jack Dreyer logo
Jack Dreyer o1.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+130)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Miami Marlins have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Connor Norby, Kyle Stowers, Dane Myers).. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to less offense.
Strikeouts Thrown
Ben Casparius logo
Ben Casparius u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+120)
Projection 3.3 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Ben Casparius to have a pitch count in today's game, projecting a maximum of 69 pitches.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Considering that groundball batters hold a significant advantage over flyball pitchers, Ben Casparius and his 39.6% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a troublesome spot in this outing squaring off against 2 opposing GB batters.. Ben Casparius will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.. Given the 1.63 disparity between Ben Casparius's 10.50 K/9 and his 8.87 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the league since the start of last season when it comes to strikeouts and should negatively regress in the future.
Total RBIs
Connor Norby logo
Connor Norby o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Connor Norby is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in LoanDepot Park.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Ben Casparius throws from, Kyle Stowers will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Agustin Ramirez logo
Agustin Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in LoanDepot Park.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.. Agustin Ramirez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Max Muncy logo
Max Muncy o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Max Muncy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara today.. Max Muncy is likely to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP.. Extreme groundball hitters like Max Muncy are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Sandy Alcantara.. Max Muncy's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (31.6° in the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 21.6° seasonal angle.
Total RBIs
Jesus Sanchez logo
Jesus Sanchez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Ben Casparius throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an edge in today's game.. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Michael Conforto logo
Michael Conforto o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Michael Conforto will have the upper hand today.. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Conforto has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.. Michael Conforto has had some very poor luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 21.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably lower than his 25.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Checking in at the 82nd percentile, Michael Conforto sports a .306 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season.
Total RBIs
Teoscar Hernandez logo
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 18th-best batter in MLB when assessing his BABIP skill.. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Teoscar Hernandez has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.5% seasonal rate to 23.5% in the past week.. Teoscar Hernandez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, rising from 43.3% on the season to 64.7% over the past week.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Graham Pauley logo
Graham Pauley o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Graham Pauley will hold the platoon advantage over Ben Casparius in today's matchup.. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.. Graham Pauley will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
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LAD vs MIA Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

77% picking LA Dodgers

77%
23%

Total PicksLAD 679, MIA 208

Moneyline
LAD
MIA

LAD vs MIA Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dane Myers Total Hits Props • Miami

Dane Myers
D. Myers
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers as the 10th-best hitter in the game when it comes to his BABIP skill. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Dane Myers hits many of his flyballs to center field (41% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Dane Myers tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Ben Casparius. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.

Dane Myers logo

Dane Myers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers as the 10th-best hitter in the game when it comes to his BABIP skill. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Dane Myers hits many of his flyballs to center field (41% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Dane Myers tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Ben Casparius. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.

Freddie Freeman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Freddie Freeman
F. Freeman
first base 1B • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 6th-worst field in MLB for LHB batting average. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to less offense. Freddie Freeman has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-deepest LF fences today. Freddie Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Freddie Freeman has been lucky this year, posting a .433 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .363 — a .070 disparity.

Freddie Freeman logo

Freddie Freeman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 6th-worst field in MLB for LHB batting average. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to less offense. Freddie Freeman has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-deepest LF fences today. Freddie Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Freddie Freeman has been lucky this year, posting a .433 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .363 — a .070 disparity.

Javier Sanoja Total Hits Props • Miami

Javier Sanoja
J. Sanoja
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Javier Sanoja hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Javier Sanoja tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ben Casparius. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.

Javier Sanoja logo

Javier Sanoja

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Javier Sanoja hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Javier Sanoja tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ben Casparius. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.

Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami

Nick Fortes
N. Fortes
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage in today's game.

Nick Fortes logo

Nick Fortes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage in today's game.

Teoscar Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Teoscar Hernandez
T. Hernandez
right outfield RF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 18th-best batter in MLB when assessing his BABIP skill. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Teoscar Hernandez has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.5% seasonal rate to 23.5% in the past week. Teoscar Hernandez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, rising from 43.3% on the season to 64.7% over the past week.

Teoscar Hernandez logo

Teoscar Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 18th-best batter in MLB when assessing his BABIP skill. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Teoscar Hernandez has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.5% seasonal rate to 23.5% in the past week. Teoscar Hernandez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, rising from 43.3% on the season to 64.7% over the past week.

Connor Norby Total Hits Props • Miami

Connor Norby
C. Norby
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Connor Norby is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.

Connor Norby logo

Connor Norby

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Connor Norby is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.

Graham Pauley Total Hits Props • Miami

Graham Pauley
G. Pauley
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Graham Pauley will hold the platoon advantage over Ben Casparius in today's matchup. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Graham Pauley will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Graham Pauley logo

Graham Pauley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Graham Pauley will hold the platoon advantage over Ben Casparius in today's matchup. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Graham Pauley will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Michael Conforto Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Michael Conforto
M. Conforto
left outfield LF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Michael Conforto will have the upper hand today. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Conforto has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Despite posting a .268 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael Conforto has experienced some negative variance given the .049 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.

Michael Conforto logo

Michael Conforto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Michael Conforto will have the upper hand today. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Conforto has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Despite posting a .268 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael Conforto has experienced some negative variance given the .049 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.

Shohei Ohtani Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Shohei Ohtani
S. Ohtani
designated hitter DH • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 6th-worst field in MLB for LHB batting average. LoanDepot Park has the 4th-deepest right field dimensions in MLB. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to less offense. Shohei Ohtani will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.264) implies that Shohei Ohtani has experienced some positive variance this year with his .294 actual batting average.

Shohei Ohtani logo

Shohei Ohtani

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 6th-worst field in MLB for LHB batting average. LoanDepot Park has the 4th-deepest right field dimensions in MLB. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to less offense. Shohei Ohtani will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.264) implies that Shohei Ohtani has experienced some positive variance this year with his .294 actual batting average.

Mookie Betts Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Mookie Betts
M. Betts
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The #6 stadium in baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to less offense. Hitting from the same side that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Mookie Betts will have a tough matchup in today's game. Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. There has been a significant decline in Mookie Betts's launch angle from last year's 21.4° to 16.3° this year.

Mookie Betts logo

Mookie Betts

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The #6 stadium in baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to less offense. Hitting from the same side that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Mookie Betts will have a tough matchup in today's game. Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. There has been a significant decline in Mookie Betts's launch angle from last year's 21.4° to 16.3° this year.

Andy Pages Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Andy Pages
A. Pages
center outfield CF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Andy Pages ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Extreme groundball batters like Andy Pages tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Sandy Alcantara. Andy Pages has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.2-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 90.9-mph.

Andy Pages logo

Andy Pages

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Andy Pages ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Extreme groundball batters like Andy Pages tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Sandy Alcantara. Andy Pages has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.2-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 90.9-mph.

Max Muncy Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Max Muncy
M. Muncy
third base 3B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Max Muncy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara today. Max Muncy is likely to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. Extreme groundball hitters like Max Muncy are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Sandy Alcantara. Max Muncy's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (31.6° in the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 21.6° seasonal angle.

Max Muncy logo

Max Muncy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Max Muncy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara today. Max Muncy is likely to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. Extreme groundball hitters like Max Muncy are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Sandy Alcantara. Max Muncy's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (31.6° in the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 21.6° seasonal angle.

Agustin Ramirez Total Hits Props • Miami

Agustin Ramirez
A. Ramirez
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Agustin Ramirez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Agustin Ramirez logo

Agustin Ramirez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Agustin Ramirez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Kyle Stowers Total Hits Props • Miami

Kyle Stowers
K. Stowers
right outfield RF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Ben Casparius throws from, Kyle Stowers will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today's game.

Kyle Stowers logo

Kyle Stowers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Ben Casparius throws from, Kyle Stowers will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today's game.

Eric Wagaman Total Hits Props • Miami

Eric Wagaman
E. Wagaman
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Eric Wagaman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Eric Wagaman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Eric Wagaman will hold that advantage today.

Eric Wagaman logo

Eric Wagaman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Eric Wagaman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Eric Wagaman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Eric Wagaman will hold that advantage today.

Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami

Xavier Edwards
X. Edwards
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Xavier Edwards's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xavier Edwards is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Xavier Edwards will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Ben Casparius in this game. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.

Xavier Edwards logo

Xavier Edwards

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Xavier Edwards's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xavier Edwards is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Xavier Edwards will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Ben Casparius in this game. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.

Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami

Jesus Sanchez
J. Sanchez
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Ben Casparius throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an edge in today's game. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.

Jesus Sanchez logo

Jesus Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Ben Casparius throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an edge in today's game. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.

Matt Mervis Total Hits Props • Miami

Matt Mervis
M. Mervis
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Matt Mervis is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Ben Casparius throws from, Matt Mervis will have an edge in today's matchup. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Matt Mervis will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Matt Mervis logo

Matt Mervis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Matt Mervis is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Ben Casparius throws from, Matt Mervis will have an edge in today's matchup. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Matt Mervis will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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LA Dodgers Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 boedad 5-4-1 +17865
2 mikers 6-4-0 +17205
3 OMREBEL02 4-5-1 +16165
4 BeeRAD 7-2-1 +15700
5 glen2003 5-4-1 +15625
6 katscore 8-2-0 +14665
7 Alexandr1966 4-5-1 +14540
8 cjrissgoodin 7-3-0 +14010
9 lusvegasluva 2-8-0 +13260
10 vitom 6-4-0 +12480
All Dodgers Money Leaders

Miami Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 MatroxSD 7-3-0 +33200
2 JayAcosta20 5-5-0 +28490
3 chuluckus 3-6-1 +28010
4 Alexandr1966 6-4-0 +26360
5 northlv6238 6-3-1 +23335
6 ewatson15 6-4-0 +22000
7 Forkball1 7-3-0 +20245
8 purple_stars 6-4-0 +16950
9 dogeatdog 6-4-0 +16115
10 jwwong 8-2-0 +16110
All Marlins Money Leaders
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