Cleveland @ Washington picks

There is the potential for delay in D.C., which is giving some value to the pitcher Unders. Cleveland Guardians starter Luis Ortiz is already projecting for 91 pitches and 4.4 Ks, per THE BAT and that could be affected by the potential rain. This game could be PPD but that would just void the bet. Ortiz has been better than a K/inning pitcher this year but looking back at his last three seasons, he has just 202 punchouts in 254+ innings pitched. He also is a pitcher with a ton of walk issues which drives up his pitch count. His four-game stretch of 31 Ks over 21 innings seems more like an outlier than what to expect from the starter today and going forward. 

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill.. James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Considering Ben Lively's large platoon split, James Wood will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.. James Wood has big-time power (87th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (26.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Ben Lively doesn't generate many whiffs (23rd percentile K%) — great news for Wood.. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. Josh Bell has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme groundball bats like Josh Bell tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Ben Lively.. Josh Bell will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Josh Bell has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 102.4-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 96.4-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Because of Ben Lively's large platoon split, Nathaniel Lowe will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball hitters like Nathaniel Lowe generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Ben Lively.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (41.4% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball batters like Jose Ramirez tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brad Lord.. Jose Ramirez has posted a .336 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 80th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill.. James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Considering Ben Lively's large platoon split, James Wood will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.. James Wood has big-time power (87th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (26.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Ben Lively doesn't generate many whiffs (23rd percentile K%) — great news for Wood.. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill.. James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Considering Ben Lively's large platoon split, James Wood will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.. James Wood has big-time power (87th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (26.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Ben Lively doesn't generate many whiffs (23rd percentile K%) — great news for Wood.. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Kyle Manzardo will have the handedness advantage against Brad Lord in today's matchup.. Kyle Manzardo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball hitters like Kyle Manzardo generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brad Lord.. Kyle Manzardo has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 9.5% rate last season to 14.7% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (41.4% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball batters like Jose Ramirez tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brad Lord.. Jose Ramirez has posted a .336 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 80th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Kyle Manzardo will have the handedness advantage against Brad Lord in today's matchup.. Kyle Manzardo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball hitters like Kyle Manzardo generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brad Lord.. Kyle Manzardo has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 9.5% rate last season to 14.7% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Because of Ben Lively's large platoon split, Nathaniel Lowe will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball hitters like Nathaniel Lowe generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Ben Lively.