Boston @ Toronto Picks & Props

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Triston Casas ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Triston Casas will have an edge in today's game. There has been a significant improvement in Triston Casas's launch angle from last year's 10.5° to 16.8° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 4th-worst venue in the league for righty BABIP. Tanner Houck will hold the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Bo Bichette's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.6% down to 0%. Placing in the 19th percentile, Bo Bichette sports a .284 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 4th-worst venue in the league for righty BABIP. Batting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, Alex Bregman has a tough challenge in today's game. Alex Bregman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. When it comes to his batting average, Alex Bregman has been lucky this year. His .328 BA has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .235.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 4th-worst venue in the league for righty BABIP. Hitting from the same side that Tanner Houck throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. meets a tough challenge in today's game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 14.5% to 10.3%.

Rogers Centre grades out as the #25 park in the game for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jarren Duran will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Jarren Duran has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Jarren Duran's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (1.3°) is significantly worse than his 8.4° figure last season.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Kristian Campbell is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Kristian Campbell has been hot recently, cruising to a .404 wOBA in the last 14 days.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Houck throws from, Daulton Varsho will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Hitters such as Daulton Varsho with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tanner Houck who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 20th-best batter in the majors. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Rafael Devers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's game. Rafael Devers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

Alan Roden's batting average talent is projected to be in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Alan Roden will hold the platoon advantage over Tanner Houck in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among every team today.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Hitters such as Anthony Santander with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tanner Houck who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among every team today.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Berrios in today's matchup.

Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Ceddanne Rafaela has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 11.3% seasonal rate to 19.2% over the past two weeks. Ceddanne Rafaela's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 16.5% to 21.1%.

Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Houck throws from, Addison Barger will have an advantage in today's game. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among every team today. Addison Barger will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Houck throws from, Nathan Lukes will have an advantage today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. George Springer is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Rob Refsnyder has hit 45.2% of his balls in the air at least 100 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 93rd percentile. Launch angles in the range of -4° to 26° tend to become base hits at a high rate; Rob Refsnyder and his 47.5% since the start of last season rank in the 94th percentile by this measure.

Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, David Hamilton will have an advantage in today's matchup. David Hamilton has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .231 BA is deflated compared to his .242 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. David Hamilton grades out in the 83rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (46.1% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Trevor Story is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Trevor Story hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Trevor Story is in the 83rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (46.8% rate since the start of last season).

Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Carlos Narvaez has been hot in recent games, compiling a a 14.3% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Andres Gimenez will have the handedness advantage over Tanner Houck in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among every team today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage in today's game.