Toronto @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Roden in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Batting from the opposite that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Alan Roden will have an advantage today. Extreme groundball bats like Alan Roden tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Clarke Schmidt. Alan Roden has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.1-mph to 87.9-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. Alan Roden's launch angle in recent games (6.9° in the last 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 3.2° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Nathan Lukes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clarke Schmidt in today's matchup. Hitters such as Nathan Lukes with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Clarke Schmidt who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Will Wagner's batting average skill is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Will Wagner will have an edge in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Will Wagner tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Clarke Schmidt. Utilizing Statcast data, Will Wagner is in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .271. Will Wagner ranks in the 92nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (50% rate since the start of last season).

Tyler Heineman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Andres Gimenez will have the upper hand today. Extreme groundball bats like Andres Gimenez usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Clarke Schmidt. Andres Gimenez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 13.8% to 19.2%.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Considering Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (39.5% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Anthony Santander's true offensive ability to be a .328, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .086 difference between that figure and his actual .242 wOBA. With a .333 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Anthony Santander grades out in the 75th percentile.

Trent Grisham has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (86% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Given Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Trent Grisham will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Trent Grisham has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 17.1% seasonal rate to 23.5% in the past 14 days. Trent Grisham has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.2-mph average to last season's 94.1-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 5th-worst ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense. Hitting from the same side that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Bo Bichette will have a tough challenge in today's matchup. Bo Bichette will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Bo Bichette's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 89.9-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 84.3-mph over the last 7 days.

J.C. Escarra will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and J.C. Escarra will hold that advantage today.

This matchup is predicted to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Kevin Gausman. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Oswaldo Cabrera will hold that advantage in today's game. Oswaldo Cabrera has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 87.1-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 84.6-mph.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ben Rice ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ben Rice is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Ben Rice will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's matchup... and even better, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Ben Rice will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The Barrel% of Ben Rice has significantly improved, with an increase from 15.6% last year to 22.8% this season.

Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Cody Bellinger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Cody Bellinger pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Cody Bellinger will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Cody Bellinger has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.5-mph average to last year's 87.8-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average ability. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.1-mph to 95.9-mph in the past 14 days. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.4-mph average to last year's 95-mph EV. When it comes to his batting average, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .317 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .335.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Oswald Peraza will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. George Springer is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. George Springer has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 98.1-mph average to last season's 93.2-mph EV. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.5°, George Springer has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 22.7° mark in the past two weeks. George Springer's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 40% to 54.7%.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage today. The Barrel% of Anthony Volpe has significantly improved, with an increase from 4% last year to 12.5% this season. Anthony Volpe has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .238 rate is considerably lower than his .253 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jasson Dominguez's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Chris Bassitt... and even better, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Jasson Dominguez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Jasson Dominguez has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 8.2% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last week's worth of games. Jasson Dominguez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.2-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.9-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. This matchup is predicted to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Ernie Clement will have the handedness advantage over Max Fried in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team in action today. Ernie Clement's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 87.8-mph now compared to just 85.3-mph then.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in the game. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Aaron Judge will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. In the past week, Aaron Judge's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.8-mph over the course of the season to 110.2-mph recently. In the last two weeks, Aaron Judge's 58.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.9%.

This matchup is predicted to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Myles Straw will have the upper hand in today's game. Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (45.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team in action today. Myles Straw is notably quick, placing in the 88th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.54 ft/sec this year.

Paul Goldschmidt's BABIP talent is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage today. Paul Goldschmidt has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 93.1-mph. Paul Goldschmidt's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (20.3°) is considerably higher than his 15.5° angle last year.

This matchup is predicted to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Austin Wells will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin Gausman today. Austin Wells will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Austin Wells has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9.4% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the past two weeks. There has been a significant improvement in Austin Wells's launch angle from last season's 16.9° to 23.6° this year.

Addison Barger has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.