LIVE Top 3rd Apr 30
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New York @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-222
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-222
Projection Rating

Nationals Park profiles as the #28 field in MLB for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will bat from his weak side (0) today against Jake Irvin Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Francisco Lindor today. Francisco Lindor's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 16.6% to 8%.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Nationals Park profiles as the #28 field in MLB for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will bat from his weak side (0) today against Jake Irvin Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Francisco Lindor today. Francisco Lindor's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 16.6% to 8%.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. Soto
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-270
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-270
Projection Rating

Nationals Park profiles as the #28 field in MLB for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Juan Soto tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jake Irvin. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Juan Soto in today's game. Over the past week, Juan Soto's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5% down to 0%.

Juan Soto

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Nationals Park profiles as the #28 field in MLB for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Juan Soto tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jake Irvin. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Juan Soto in today's game. Over the past week, Juan Soto's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5% down to 0%.

Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Washington

N. Lowe
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have the upper hand in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Nathaniel Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have the upper hand in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Wood
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. James Wood will hold the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's game. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

James Wood

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. James Wood will hold the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's game. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Bell
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Josh Bell has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Josh Bell generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kodai Senga. Josh Bell will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Josh Bell's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (17.4°) is significantly better than his 12° figure last year.

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Josh Bell has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Josh Bell generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kodai Senga. Josh Bell will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Josh Bell's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (17.4°) is significantly better than his 12° figure last year.

Dylan Crews Total Hits Props • Washington

D. Crews
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dylan Crews has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Dylan Crews will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Dylan Crews has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.8-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 94.5-mph.

Dylan Crews

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dylan Crews has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Dylan Crews will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Dylan Crews has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.8-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 94.5-mph.

Jesse Winker Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. Winker
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jesse Winker will have the handedness advantage against Jake Irvin today. Jesse Winker has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jesse Winker has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 104.6-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 99.6-mph. Jesse Winker's launch angle this year (22.3°) is a significant increase over his 14° mark last season.

Jesse Winker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jesse Winker will have the handedness advantage against Jake Irvin today. Jesse Winker has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jesse Winker has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 104.6-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 99.6-mph. Jesse Winker's launch angle this year (22.3°) is a significant increase over his 14° mark last season.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Among all stadiums, Nationals Park's RF fences are the 9th-shallowest. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jeff McNeil will have the handedness advantage over Jake Irvin in today's matchup. In terms of plate discipline, Jeff McNeil's talent is quite strong, posting a 1.92 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 79th percentile.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Among all stadiums, Nationals Park's RF fences are the 9th-shallowest. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jeff McNeil will have the handedness advantage over Jake Irvin in today's matchup. In terms of plate discipline, Jeff McNeil's talent is quite strong, posting a 1.92 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 79th percentile.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Kodai Senga. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage today.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Kodai Senga. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage today.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, CJ Abrams ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand in today's game. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, CJ Abrams ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand in today's game. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-233
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-233
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an advantage today. Brandon Nimmo has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an advantage today. Brandon Nimmo has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Young
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-133
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-133
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Bats such as Jacob Young with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Kodai Senga who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Bats such as Jacob Young with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Kodai Senga who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Nationals Park has the 5th-shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Mark Vientos has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.2-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 92.5-mph.

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Nationals Park has the 5th-shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Mark Vientos has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.2-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 92.5-mph.

Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

T. Taylor
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 5th-shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Tyrone Taylor has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .290 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .312.

Tyrone Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Nationals Park has the 5th-shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Tyrone Taylor has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .290 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .312.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 5th-shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Nationals Park has the 5th-shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Jose Tena Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Tena
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jose Tena will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's game. Jose Tena has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Jose Tena generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kodai Senga.

Jose Tena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jose Tena will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's game. Jose Tena has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Jose Tena generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kodai Senga.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-345
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-345
Projection Rating

Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Nationals Park has the 5th-shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Pete Alonso has made big strides with his Barrel%, improving his 13.2% rate last year to 21.2% this season.

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Nationals Park has the 5th-shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Pete Alonso has made big strides with his Barrel%, improving his 13.2% rate last year to 21.2% this season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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