New York @ Washington Picks & Props

Nationals Park profiles as the #28 stadium in the game for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Hitting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage today. Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Pete Alonso's true offensive ability to be a .366, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .099 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .465 wOBA.

Nationals Park profiles as the #28 field in MLB for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will bat from his weak side (0) today against Jake Irvin Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Francisco Lindor today. Francisco Lindor's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 16.6% to 8%.

Nationals Park profiles as the #28 field in MLB for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Juan Soto tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jake Irvin. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Juan Soto in today's game. Over the past week, Juan Soto's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. James Wood will hold the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's game. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have the upper hand in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Josh Bell has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Josh Bell generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kodai Senga. Josh Bell will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Josh Bell's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (17.4°) is significantly better than his 12° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dylan Crews has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Dylan Crews will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Dylan Crews has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.8-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 94.5-mph.

The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jesse Winker will have the handedness advantage against Jake Irvin today. Jesse Winker has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jesse Winker has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 104.6-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 99.6-mph. Jesse Winker's launch angle this year (22.3°) is a significant increase over his 14° mark last season.

Among all stadiums, Nationals Park's RF fences are the 9th-shallowest. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jeff McNeil will have the handedness advantage over Jake Irvin in today's matchup. In terms of plate discipline, Jeff McNeil's talent is quite strong, posting a 1.92 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 79th percentile.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Kodai Senga. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, CJ Abrams ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand in today's game. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an advantage today. Brandon Nimmo has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Bats such as Jacob Young with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Kodai Senga who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Nationals Park has the 5th-shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Mark Vientos has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.2-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 92.5-mph.

Nationals Park has the 5th-shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Tyrone Taylor has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .290 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .312.

Nationals Park has the 5th-shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jose Tena will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's game. Jose Tena has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Jose Tena generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kodai Senga.