Seattle @ Toronto Picks & Props

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, J.P. Crawford will have the upper hand today. J.P. Crawford hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. In the last 7 days, J.P. Crawford's 36.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.6%. As it relates to his batting average, J.P. Crawford has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .204 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .243.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Andres Gimenez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Andres Gimenez will have an edge in today's matchup. Andres Gimenez has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Anthony Santander will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Sporting a .341 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Anthony Santander is ranked in the 82nd percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When it comes to his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The #7 park in the majors for suppressing BABIP to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Logan Gilbert will have the handedness advantage against Bo Bichette in today's matchup. In notching a .286 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Bo Bichette grades out in the 20th percentile.

The #7 park in the majors for suppressing BABIP to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Hitting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, Julio Rodriguez encounters a tough challenge in today's game. Out of every team today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Julio Rodriguez in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Julio Rodriguez's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.4% down to 0%.

Miles Mastrobuoni is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Batting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Miles Mastrobuoni will have an edge in today's matchup. Miles Mastrobuoni hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Miles Mastrobuoni's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.6-mph over the course of the season to 92.4-mph in recent games. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.290) may lead us to conclude that Miles Mastrobuoni has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .240 actual wOBA.

Alan Roden's batting average ability is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Alan Roden will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alan Roden has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Extreme flyball hitters like Alan Roden are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Gilbert.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Randy Arozarena hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Randy Arozarena has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.4% rate last year to 14.5% this season. Randy Arozarena has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.9-mph average to last year's 94.2-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Will Wagner will have an edge in today's matchup. Will Wagner is apt to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Will Wagner hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like Will Wagner generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Gilbert.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Alejandro Kirk will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.3-mph average over the past week to his seasonal mark of 92.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Extreme groundball batters like Benjamin Williamson generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jose Berrios.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Luke Raley is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage over Jose Berrios today. Luke Raley hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Luke Raley has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10.8% seasonal rate to 25% in the last 7 days.

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Cal Raleigh has made big gains with his Barrel%, improving his 15.5% rate last year to 23% this season. Cal Raleigh has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 22.4% seasonal rate to 50% over the past 7 days. In the past week's worth of games, Cal Raleigh's 42.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.7%.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Jorge Polanco has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 9% rate last season to 15.2% this season. In the last week's worth of games, Jorge Polanco's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14% up to 25%.

Ernie Clement's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Ernie Clement will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Ernie Clement has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.7-mph to 88.7-mph in the last week's worth of games.

The 10th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Myles Straw will hold that advantage today. Over the last week, Myles Straw has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 22.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 10°.

Rowdy Tellez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's matchup. Rowdy Tellez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. In the last 7 days, Rowdy Tellez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13% up to 28.6%. Rowdy Tellez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.5-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 91-mph mark. Rowdy Tellez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, rising from 56.5% on the season to 71.4% in the last 7 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Dylan Moore ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Dylan Moore has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the past 7 days. Dylan Moore's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 41.2% on the season to 50% over the past week.