Cleveland @ Baltimore Picks & Props

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 6th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. In today's game, Steven Kwan is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.3% rate (93rd percentile). Among all the teams on the slate today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Steven Kwan in today's game. Steven Kwan's launch angle this season (6.6°) is quite a bit worse than his 14.8° angle last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Gabriel Arias has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (93% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Gabriel Arias has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Gabriel Arias tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano. In the last 7 days, Gabriel Arias has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .358.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Ryan Mountcastle has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest RF fences today. Ryan Mountcastle will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Ryan Mountcastle has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 8.8% rate last season to 16.7% this year. Ryan Mountcastle has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last season's 90.8-mph figure.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Ramon Laureano will hold that advantage in today's game. Ramon Laureano's 12.2% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 87th percentile since the start of last season. Ramon Laureano has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 19.3° angle is among the highest in the majors since the start of last season (90th percentile). Sporting a .332 BABIP since the start of last season, Ramon Laureano is ranked in the 87th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field fences in the league. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Adley Rutschman will hold that advantage in today's game. This season, Adley Rutschman has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.1 mph compared to last year's 89.5 mph mark.

Cedric Mullins is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Cedric Mullins will hold the platoon advantage over Tanner Bibee in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Cedric Mullins has made significant strides with his Barrel%, improving his 4.9% rate last season to 10.8% this year.

Austin Hedges has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Bo Naylor will have an edge in today's matchup. Bo Naylor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Bo Naylor's 20.2° launch angle (a reliable standard to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the league: 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Jackson Holliday will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee today. Extreme groundball batters like Jackson Holliday tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Tanner Bibee. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jackson Holliday will hold that advantage today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jackson Holliday has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .250 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .280.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jose Ramirez's launch angle this year (27.2°) is quite a bit better than his 19.6° figure last season. Checking in at the 92nd percentile, Jose Ramirez has notched a .361 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field fences in the league.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field fences in the league. Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Baltimore's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams today creates a favorable matchup for Kyle Manzardo, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Kyle Manzardo has made big gains with his Barrel%, upping his 9.5% rate last year to 18.9% this year.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jordan Westburg ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jordan Westburg will hold that advantage today. Jordan Westburg's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 17.8% to 22.9%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.384) implies that Jordan Westburg has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .333 actual wOBA.

Carlos Santana is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.2% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. As it relates to plate discipline, Carlos Santana's skill is quite good, posting a 1.56 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 90th percentile.

Daniel Schneemann will hold the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano in today's game. Daniel Schneemann hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Ranking in the 76th percentile for Sprint Speed at 27.85 ft/sec this year, Daniel Schneemann is notably toolsy.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 17th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee today. Gunnar Henderson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Gunnar Henderson will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ramon Urias hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Ramon Urias will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Lane Thomas's 17.1° launch angle (an advanced stat to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in Major League Baseball: 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Batting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Heston Kjerstad will have the upper hand today. Heston Kjerstad will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Since the start of last season, Heston Kjerstad's flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 81st percentile at 94.5 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Nolan Jones is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Nolan Jones will have an edge in today's matchup. Since the start of last season, Nolan Jones's flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to assess power) ranks in the 85th percentile at 94.9 mph. Nolan Jones is in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (47.1% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have the upper hand in today's game. Ryan O'Hearn will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Ryan O'Hearn's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 40.8% to 50%.