Atlanta @ Toronto Picks & Props

The #5 venue in the majors for suppressing base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the 5th-best out of all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael Harris II today. Michael Harris II's launch angle this year (2°) is a considerable dropoff from his 7.4° figure last year. Michael Harris II has struggled to lift the ball recently, putting up a 3.3° launch angle in the last two weeks.

The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Nick Allen hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like Nick Allen are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Chris Bassitt. Nick Allen has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits lately, striking balls between -4° and 26° 62.5% of the time in the past two weeks. When it comes to his batting average, Nick Allen has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .211 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .233.

Alan Roden's batting average ability is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Alan Roden will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Strider in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Alan Roden tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Spencer Strider.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, Andres Gimenez will have the upper hand in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best batter in baseball when assessing his batting average skill. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Will Wagner will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider in today's game. Will Wagner hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like Will Wagner tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Spencer Strider.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Matt Olson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Matt Olson will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves. Anthony Santander will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Bryan De La Cruz's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 43.4% to 53.8%. Bryan De La Cruz has been hot lately, posting a a 15.4% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) in the past week's worth of games.

Among all parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Orlando Arcia usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Chris Bassitt.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Austin Riley ranks as the 14th-best batter in baseball. Austin Riley is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Austin Riley has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 15% rate last season to 22.2% this year.

Among all parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Myles Straw will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 7th-best batter in the game when assessing his BABIP talent. Bo Bichette is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Sean Murphy ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Sean Murphy has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Sean Murphy hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In the last two weeks, Sean Murphy's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 27.3% up to 27.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves. Ernie Clement will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Among all parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Drake Baldwin will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Ozzie Albies's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 14.2% to 25.9%.

The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Jarred Kelenic will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. Jarred Kelenic hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Jarred Kelenic's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10% up to 16.7%. Over the last 7 days, Jarred Kelenic's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves.

Stuart Fairchild has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.