Cleveland @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. The shallowest RF dimensions in the league are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Kyle Manzardo will have the handedness advantage over Dean Kremer in today's matchup. The Barrel% of Kyle Manzardo has significantly improved, with an increase from 9.5% last year to 21.2% this year. In the past week, Kyle Manzardo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 21.2% up to 44.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Gabriel Arias has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Hitters such as Gabriel Arias with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Dean Kremer who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. In the last 7 days, Gabriel Arias's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.3-mph over the course of the season to 106.9-mph lately. Sporting a .320 BABIP since the start of last season, Gabriel Arias is ranked in the 79th percentile.

Daniel Schneemann will have the handedness advantage against Dean Kremer in today's game. Daniel Schneemann hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Ranking in the 76th percentile for Sprint Speed at 27.85 ft/sec this year, Daniel Schneemann is remarkably quick.

Cedric Mullins is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Cedric Mullins will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage today. Cedric Mullins's launch angle in recent games (34.3° in the last 7 days) is significantly better than his 19.4° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Steven Kwan is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Steven Kwan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer today. In the past 7 days, Steven Kwan's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.3-mph over the course of the season to 94.7-mph recently. When it comes to plate discipline, Steven Kwan's ability is quite strong, putting up a 0.98 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 99th percentile.

Batting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Bo Naylor will have an edge in today's game. Bo Naylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Bo Naylor has averaged an impressive 97.6-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced proxy for home run potential. Over the past 14 days, Bo Naylor's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 38.5% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Bo Naylor ranks in the 95th percentile with a 20.2° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in the majors.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.7% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game. There has been a significant improvement in Jose Ramirez's launch angle from last season's 19.6° to 27.2° this season. Jose Ramirez has been lifting the ball well lately, putting up a 27.8° launch angle over the last two weeks.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 17th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage against Gavin Williams today. Gunnar Henderson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Gunnar Henderson will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an edge in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Jackson Holliday usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Gavin Williams. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jackson Holliday will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.280) may lead us to conclude that Jackson Holliday has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .250 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jordan Westburg is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Jordan Westburg will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jordan Westburg has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, improving his 11.9% rate last year to 17.6% this season. Jordan Westburg's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 17.8% to 22.9%.

Angel Martinez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today. Angel Martinez has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 16.5° mark is among the highest in baseball since the start of last season (80th percentile). In terms of plate discipline, Angel Martinez's ability is quite good, sporting a 2.13 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 76th percentile. By putting up a .260 batting average since the start of last season, Angel Martinez has performed in the 78th percentile.

Ramon Urias hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Ramon Urias will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have the upper hand in today's game. Ryan O'Hearn will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Compared to last year, Ryan O'Hearn has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 40.8% to 50% this season.

Lane Thomas is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Lane Thomas's 17.1° launch angle (a reliable metric to measure a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in baseball: 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Ryan Mountcastle has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ryan Mountcastle will hold that advantage in today's game. The Barrel% of Ryan Mountcastle has significantly improved, with an increase from 8.8% last year to 17.6% this season.

The shallowest RF dimensions in the league are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The shallowest RF dimensions in the league are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Adley Rutschman will hold that advantage in today's game. Adley Rutschman has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 105-mph average over the last week to his seasonal average of 96.1-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Nolan Jones is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Nolan Jones will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer in today's game. Nolan Jones has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.7-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 99.4-mph. Nolan Jones's 94.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to assess power) ranks in the 85th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Heston Kjerstad will have the handedness advantage over Gavin Williams in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Heston Kjerstad will hold that advantage in today's game. Heston Kjerstad has been hot lately, notching a a 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) in the last week. Over the last 14 days, Heston Kjerstad has averaged an impressive 96.8-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced measure of home run potential.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Tyler O'Neill will hold that advantage in today's game. Tyler O'Neill has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 103.1-mph average over the last week to his seasonal figure of 94.3-mph. Tyler O'Neill's launch angle this year (24.8°) is quite a bit better than his 20° angle last season.

Carlos Santana is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Carlos Santana pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Carlos Santana has hit one of the hardest balls in MLB in the past 7 days — 111.3-mph — which is a good indicator of recent form and raw power. Sporting a 1.56 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Carlos Santana has shown strong plate discipline, ranking in the 90th percentile.

Jhonkensy Noel has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.