Atlanta @ Toronto Picks & Props

The #3 venue in the majors for suppressing BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Extreme flyball batters like Ozzie Albies are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Easton Lucas. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams today. Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Ozzie Albies has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.1-mph dropping to 81.7-mph in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Michael Harris II hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like Michael Harris II tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Easton Lucas. Michael Harris II has been hot recently, compiling a 93.9-mph average exit velocity over the past two weeks.

The 9th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Tyler Heineman will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The #3 venue in the majors for suppressing BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams today. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Austin Riley today. Austin Riley's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 95-mph mark last season has dropped to 90.9-mph.

The #3 venue in the majors for suppressing BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Batting from the same side that Grant Holmes throws from, Bo Bichette will have a tough challenge today. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves. Placing in the 18th percentile, Bo Bichette has posted a .284 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The 9th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Grant Holmes throws from, Andres Gimenez will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Grant Holmes throws from, Will Wagner will have an edge in today's game. Will Wagner hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like Will Wagner tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Grant Holmes.

Alan Roden's batting average talent is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 9th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Grant Holmes throws from, Alan Roden will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Alan Roden are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Grant Holmes.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The 9th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Grant Holmes throws from, Nathan Lukes will have an edge in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Nathan Lukes tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Grant Holmes.

The #3 venue in the majors for suppressing BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Batting from the same side that Grant Holmes throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 93.7-mph average last season has decreased to 91.4-mph. From last season to this one, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 14.5% to 8.2%.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The 9th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Matt Olson's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 94.2-mph now compared to just 91.3-mph then.

The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Nick Allen will hold the platoon advantage over Easton Lucas today. Nick Allen hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Bats such as Nick Allen with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Easton Lucas who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.231) suggests that Nick Allen has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .208 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Sean Murphy has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Sean Murphy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Easton Lucas in today's game. Sean Murphy hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Ernie Clement is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The 9th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The 9th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Marcell Ozuna will hold the platoon advantage against Easton Lucas today.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The 9th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Anthony Santander will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Anthony Santander has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.6-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 91-mph mark.

The 9th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Easton Lucas throws from, Stuart Fairchild will have an edge in today's game. Stuart Fairchild's 20.5° launch angle (an advanced stat to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the league: 93rd percentile. Stuart Fairchild is quite toolsy, placing in the 92nd percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.07 ft/sec since the start of last season.

The 9th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Myles Straw will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Myles Straw has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .375. Myles Straw is notably quick, ranking in the 89th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.38 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The 9th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Easton Lucas throws from, Bryan De La Cruz will have an advantage in today's game.