Toronto @ Baltimore Picks & Props
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TOR vs BAL Props
Davis Schneider Total Hits Props • Toronto
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 14th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Davis Schneider is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today. When starting against a lefty on the mound since the start of last season, Davis Schneider has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 31% of the time. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. In today's matchup, Davis Schneider is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.2% rate (82nd percentile).
Bo Bichette Total Hits Props • Toronto
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bo Bichette today. Grading out in the 18th percentile, Bo Bichette sports a .284 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.
Adley Rutschman Total Hits Props • Baltimore
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. In MLB, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's CF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Adley Rutschman will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.2°, Adley Rutschman has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 26.7° angle in the past week.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 93.7-mph mark last season has fallen off to 91.2-mph. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 14.5% to 8.9%.
Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • Baltimore
Cedric Mullins is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Cedric Mullins will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.8% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage today. Cedric Mullins's launch angle lately (27.7° over the last week) is considerably better than his 19.1° seasonal angle.
Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore
Gunnar Henderson projects as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. In MLB, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's CF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have the upper hand today. Gunnar Henderson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Jackson Holliday Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jackson Holliday will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios today. Jackson Holliday will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jackson Holliday has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph to 92.4-mph over the last 7 days. Jackson Holliday has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .254 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .278 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Toronto
Andres Gimenez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. In MLB, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's CF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Extreme groundball bats like Andres Gimenez are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Cade Povich. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.
George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. In MLB, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's CF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. George Springer will have the handedness advantage over Cade Povich today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.
Ryan O'Hearn Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Ryan O'Hearn will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ryan O'Hearn's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (16° in the last week) is a considerable increase over his 11.1° seasonal angle.
Heston Kjerstad Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Batting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Heston Kjerstad will have an advantage today. Heston Kjerstad will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Heston Kjerstad has been hot in recent games, posting a 91.9-mph average exit velocity in the past two weeks' worth of games. Heston Kjerstad has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, hitting balls between 23° and 34° 40% of the time in the past week.
Ernie Clement Total Hits Props • Toronto
Ernie Clement will have the handedness advantage over Cade Povich today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. There has been a significant improvement in Ernie Clement's launch angle from last year's 16.2° to 27.6° this year. Ernie Clement has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, hitting balls between 23° and 34° 31.6% of the time in the past two weeks' worth of games.
Jordan Westburg Total Hits Props • Baltimore
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jordan Westburg ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jordan Westburg is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. In MLB, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's CF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Jordan Westburg will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The Barrel% of Jordan Westburg has significantly improved, with an increase from 11.9% last year to 17.2% this season.
Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have an advantage in today's matchup. Alejandro Kirk has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Alejandro Kirk's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (12.5° over the last 7 days) is significantly better than his 6.3° seasonal mark.
Ryan Mountcastle Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Ryan Mountcastle has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Ryan Mountcastle will hold that advantage in today's game. Ryan Mountcastle has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 8.8% rate last season to 13.8% this season. Ryan Mountcastle has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.9-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal average of 94.3-mph.
Tyler O'Neill Total Hits Props • Baltimore
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Tyler O'Neill's launch angle recently (30° over the last 7 days) is considerably better than his 21.7° seasonal figure. Compared to last season, Tyler O'Neill has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 18.5% to 22.6% this season. Tyler O'Neill has notched a .353 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 88th percentile.
Myles Straw Total Hits Props • Toronto
Myles Straw will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's game. Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (45.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Myles Straw is remarkably quick, placing in the 88th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.38 ft/sec this year.
Anthony Santander Total Hits Props • Toronto
Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Anthony Santander will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Cade Povich in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Anthony Santander has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.6-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 91-mph figure. Compared to last year, Anthony Santander has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 38.2% to 56.8% this season.
TOR vs BAL Trends
Toronto Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+5.15 Units / 37% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.85 Units / 52% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 46 of their last 77 away games (+10.25 Units / 11% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 73% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.50 Units / 49% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 77 away games (-21.35 Units / -23% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the Game Total Over in 1 of their last 12 games (-10.70 Units / -84% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 14 games (-3.45 Units / -21% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 games (-0.95 Units / -12% ROI)
Baltimore Trends
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 88 of their last 165 games (+17.50 Units / 10% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 85 of their last 165 games (+6.60 Units / 3% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 80 games at home (+3.10 Units / 3% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 88 of their last 164 games (+0.40 Units / 0% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the Game Total Under in 65 of their last 165 games (-31.75 Units / -17% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the Team Total Over in 77 of their last 165 games (-25.15 Units / -13% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 76 of their last 164 games (-24.70 Units / -13% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 80 games at home (-17.00 Units / -13% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 80 games at home (-7.15 Units / -6% ROI)
TOR vs BAL Top User Picks
Toronto Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | hackorama | 6-4-0 | +19495 |
| 2 | accxmass | 5-4-1 | +17505 |
| 3 | Midway28 | 5-4-1 | +15885 |
| 4 | CastlemontDB91 | 6-3-1 | +15740 |
| 5 | Rossi35 | 7-3-0 | +15250 |
| 6 | CitoGMoney | 3-6-1 | +14955 |
| 7 | Kowalabear1994 | 7-3-0 | +14035 |
| 8 | rapa76 | 7-3-0 | +13985 |
| 9 | captty55 | 4-6-0 | +12990 |
| 10 | sailorman1965 | 8-2-0 | +12945 |
| All Blue Jays Money Leaders | |||
Baltimore Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sandsaver727 | 5-5-0 | +31435 |
| 2 | stumpmaker | 4-5-1 | +24450 |
| 3 | reddog6008 | 7-2-1 | +20117 |
| 4 | coach_d5 | 7-3-0 | +18885 |
| 5 | jnc3lb | 5-5-0 | +16895 |
| 6 | mccabe40 | 3-7-0 | +16810 |
| 7 | MLBFan8848 | 5-5-0 | +16285 |
| 8 | R_MUNDO | 4-6-0 | +16065 |
| 9 | Enelra18 | 4-5-1 | +15445 |
| 10 | Queefs4 | 5-4-1 | +15185 |
| All Orioles Money Leaders | |||