Toronto @ New York Picks & Props

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Hayden Senger ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Hayden Senger is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the 2nd-worst ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Bowden Francis will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hayden Senger today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the 2nd-worst ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Bo Bichette will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Placing in the 11th percentile, Bo Bichette has posted a .276 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Jose Siri pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Jose Siri will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.314) suggests that Jose Siri has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .268 actual wOBA. Jose Siri has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 20.4° angle is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (97th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average skill. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in baseball. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage over Bowden Francis in today's game. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against David Peterson. Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (39.6% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Bats such as Anthony Santander with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like David Peterson who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Brett Baty will have the handedness advantage over Bowden Francis in today's game. Brett Baty has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like Brett Baty generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bowden Francis. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage today. Brett Baty has been hot of late, notching a 96.1-mph average exit velocity over the past week.

Jesse Winker is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Jesse Winker will have the handedness advantage against Bowden Francis in today's matchup. Jesse Winker has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jesse Winker will hold that advantage today. Jesse Winker has notched a .334 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Among all stadiums, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Andres Gimenez has exhibited some good exit velocity indicators of late, averaging 99.6-mph on his flyballs in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Among all stadiums, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, George Springer will have the upper hand today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. In the past week's worth of games, George Springer has displayed impressive power, recording a a 33.3% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Among all stadiums, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have an edge today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Davis Schneider will have an edge today. Davis Schneider pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Batters such as Davis Schneider with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like David Peterson who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.298) provides evidence that Davis Schneider has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .275 actual wOBA.

Ernie Clement will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson today. Ernie Clement pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. In the past week's worth of games, Ernie Clement has posted a 32° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential. Ernie Clement is in the 90th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (19% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Among all stadiums, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Francisco Lindor will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Using Statcast metrics, Francisco Lindor grades out in the 94th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .368.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the league. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Among all stadiums, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Pete Alonso will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Pete Alonso has been hot lately, putting up a a 31.6% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage over Bowden Francis in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Brandon Nimmo will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today. Mark Vientos will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Since the start of last season, Mark Vientos's 13.9% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 92nd percentile among his peers. Since the start of last season, Mark Vientos's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to measure power) ranks in the 95th percentile at 95.9 mph.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Tyler Heineman will get to bat from his good side against David Peterson in this game. Tyler Heineman pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Among all stadiums, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Myles Straw will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Ranking in the 81st percentile for Sprint Speed at 28 ft/sec this year, Myles Straw is very fast.

Tyrone Taylor has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.