San Diego @ Chicago Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the 2nd-best hitter in the game when estimating his batting average talent. Luis Arraez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Luis Arraez is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP. Luis Arraez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Wrigley Field has the 3rd-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Matthew Shaw will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Matthew Shaw has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.9-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 95.4-mph. Matthew Shaw has been lifting the ball well in recent games, compiling a 32° launch angle over the past 7 days.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Wrigley Field has the 3rd-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Seiya Suzuki will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Wrigley Field has the 3rd-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Yuli Gurriel will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Boyd in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Yuli Gurriel has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .264 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .312. By putting up a .270 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Yuli Gurriel has performed in the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Wrigley Field has the 3rd-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have an advantage today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 10th-best batter in baseball. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Wrigley Field has the 3rd-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Fernando Tatis Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Jake Cronenworth has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Jake Cronenworth has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .242 rate is a good deal lower than his .280 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Wrigley Field has the 3rd-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Elias Diaz will have an advantage today. Elias Diaz has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits of late, striking balls between -4° and 26° 57.1% of the time in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill as the 14th-best batter in the game when assessing his batting average talent. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Jackson Merrill will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs only has 1 same-handed RP. Jackson Merrill has been hot lately, notching a a 30.8% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Wrigley Field has the 3rd-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Manny Machado will have an advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Ian Happ is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Nick Pivetta. Ian Happ has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Kyle Tucker projects as the 7th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage against Nick Pivetta in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage today.

Wrigley Field has the 3rd-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's game. Sporting a 1.85 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Carson Kelly has shown impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 81st percentile.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the upper hand in today's game. Pete Crow-Armstrong will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Pete Crow-Armstrong's launch angle from last season's 16.7° to 23.7° this season. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Pete Crow-Armstrong has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .284 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .319.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Nico Hoerner will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Nico Hoerner's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 44.5% to 67.6%. Nico Hoerner has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .274 BA is deflated compared to his .288 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Wrigley Field has the 3rd-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Dansby Swanson will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Wrigley Field has the 3rd-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Miguel Amaya will hold that advantage in today's matchup. As it relates to his batting average, Miguel Amaya has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .233 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .246.

Wrigley Field has the 3rd-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Brandon Lockridge will have an advantage today. Extreme groundball batters like Brandon Lockridge are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Matthew Boyd.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Michael Busch ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Busch is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Michael Busch will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today's game.