Washington @ Toronto Picks & Props
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WAS vs TOR Props
Amed Rosario Total Hits Props • Washington
24% of the time that Amed Rosario has started against a southpaw since the start of last season, he has been pinch hit for. The #4 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Amed Rosario in today's matchup. Amed Rosario has had some very good luck with with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .306 mark is quite a bit higher than his .285 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Bo Bichette Total Hits Props • Toronto
The #4 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Bo Bichette and his 4.4° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 5th percentile, among the lowest in the game since the start of last season. By putting up a .283 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Bo Bichette is positioned in the 16th percentile.
James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in baseball when estimating his BABIP talent. James Wood is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Extreme flyball hitters like James Wood tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Easton Lucas.
Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Toronto
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batters such as Andres Gimenez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like MacKenzie Gore who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Vladimir Guerrero Total Hits Props • Toronto
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in the league when assessing his batting average ability. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
David Lowe Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batters such as Nathaniel Lowe with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Easton Lucas who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Paul Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. In the last week's worth of games, CJ Abrams has displayed impressive power, recording a an 18.2% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power).
Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Kevin Gausman will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Young in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Jacob Young are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Easton Lucas.
George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. George Springer has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. George Springer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game.
Dylan Crews Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Dylan Crews has a tough challenge in today's matchup. Dylan Crews has been cold in recent games, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) over the past 7 days.
Joshua Bell Total Hits Props • Washington
In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Extreme groundball batters like Josh Bell tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Easton Lucas. Josh Bell has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, striking balls between 23° and 34° 33.3% of the time in the last 7 days.
Ernie Clement Total Hits Props • Toronto
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Ernie Clement will have an advantage in today's game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams in action today.
Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Alejandro Kirk will hold the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game.
Anthony Santander Total Hits Props • Toronto
Anthony Santander is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will get to bat from his better side (0) today against MacKenzie Gore. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams in action today.
Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington
In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Kevin Gausman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alex Call today.
Davis Schneider Total Hits Props • Toronto
In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Davis Schneider will hold the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage today.
Tyler Heineman Total Hits Props • Toronto
In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Tyler Heineman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against MacKenzie Gore in this game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams in action today. Tyler Heineman will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Myles Straw Total Hits Props • Toronto
In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Myles Straw will have an edge today. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Myles Straw will hold that advantage today.
Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington
Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Keibert Ruiz's 19° launch angle (an advanced stat to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in the league: 91st percentile.
Paul DeJong Total Hits Props • Washington
In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Kevin Gausman will have the handedness advantage over Paul DeJong today. Paul DeJong has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 20.7° angle is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (97th percentile).
Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington
Riley Adams has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
WAS vs TOR Trends
Washington Trends
The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 154 games (+7.30 Units / 4% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 46 games (+5.10 Units / 10% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 36 games (+6.20 Units / 15% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.00 Units / 31% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.30 Units / 16% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 89 games (-14.45 Units / -15% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Game Total Over in 72 of their last 158 games (-12.90 Units / -7% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 16 games (-7.70 Units / -41% ROI)
Toronto Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games at home (+12.85 Units / 18% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.40 Units / 15% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+1.95 Units / 8% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games at home (+1.25 Units / 3% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 29 games at home (+1.05 Units / 3% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 74 games at home (-30.25 Units / -34% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 62 games at home (-22.10 Units / -32% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 73 games at home (-16.40 Units / -17% ROI)
WAS vs TOR Top User Picks
Washington Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eldominicano33 | 7-3-0 | +20570 |
| 2 | uradonkey | 6-4-0 | +18804 |
| 3 | ThorsHammer | 7-3-0 | +16400 |
| 4 | sleeper2239 | 5-5-0 | +15480 |
| 5 | 53Defense | 5-5-0 | +13840 |
| 6 | purple_stars | 3-7-0 | +12385 |
| 7 | bluorch158 | 4-6-0 | +12035 |
| 8 | marlis | 4-6-0 | +10605 |
| 9 | albertobs | 7-3-0 | +10440 |
| 10 | dogeatdog | 7-3-0 | +10089 |
| All Nationals Money Leaders | |||
Toronto Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | hackorama | 6-4-0 | +19495 |
| 2 | accxmass | 5-4-1 | +17505 |
| 3 | Midway28 | 5-4-1 | +15885 |
| 4 | CastlemontDB91 | 6-3-1 | +15740 |
| 5 | Rossi35 | 7-3-0 | +15250 |
| 6 | CitoGMoney | 3-6-1 | +14955 |
| 7 | Kowalabear1994 | 7-3-0 | +14035 |
| 8 | rapa76 | 7-3-0 | +13985 |
| 9 | captty55 | 4-6-0 | +12990 |
| 10 | sailorman1965 | 8-2-0 | +12945 |
| All Blue Jays Money Leaders | |||