Kansas City @ Milwaukee Picks & Props
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KC vs MIL Props
Robert Witt Total Hits Props • Kansas City
American Family Field projects as the #23 park in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chad Patrick will hold the platoon advantage over Bobby Witt Jr. in today's game. In today's matchup, Bobby Witt Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league's 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.9% rate (85th percentile). Extreme flyball hitters like Bobby Witt Jr. tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Chad Patrick. The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams playing today.
Jackson Chourio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
American Family Field projects as the #23 park in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the same side that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Jackson Chourio will have a tough challenge in today's game. Jackson Chourio has been cold in recent games, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) in the past two weeks' worth of games. In the last 14 days, Jackson Chourio's swing has not been well optimized for base hits, hitting a mere 33.3% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jackson Chourio ranks in just the 9th percentile with a 7.5° launch angle, which is one of the lowest angles in the majors.
Garrett Mitchell Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
As it relates to his BABIP talent, Garrett Mitchell is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Garrett Mitchell will have the upper hand in today's game.
Vincent Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Chad Patrick throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an edge in today's matchup. Ranked in the 82nd percentile, Vinnie Pasquantino has one of the highest average exit velocities in the league since the start of last season (91-mph).
Dustin Renfroe Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Hunter Renfroe has been hot in recent games, putting up a a 20% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) over the last 7 days. Over the last two weeks, Hunter Renfroe has posted a 22.8° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.
Rhys Hoskins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
The 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Rhys Hoskins usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Michael Lorenzen. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Rhys Hoskins will hold that advantage today.
Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Kyle Isbel will have the handedness advantage against Chad Patrick in today's matchup.
Mervyl Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City
American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. MJ Melendez will have the handedness advantage against Chad Patrick today. MJ Melendez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .206 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .223 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jonathan India Total Hits Props • Kansas City
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jonathan India ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Jonathan India hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Extreme groundball bats like Maikel Garcia tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Chad Patrick. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.276) implies that Maikel Garcia has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .231 actual batting average.
Eric Haase Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
The 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Eric Haase will hold that advantage in today's game. Eric Haase's 13.5% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) is in the 91st percentile since the start of last season.
Michael Massey Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Michael Massey is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Chad Patrick throws from, Michael Massey will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Michael Massey has displayed some good exit velocity statistics lately, averaging 97.6-mph on his flyballs in the past 7 days.
William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
When estimating his overall offensive skill, William Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Christian Yelich Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
When assessing his BABIP talent, Christian Yelich is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.
Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Salvador Perez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.
Oliver Dunn Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
Oliver Dunn's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Oliver Dunn will have an advantage in today's matchup.
Cavan Biggio Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Cavan Biggio has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Cavan Biggio will have the handedness advantage against Chad Patrick today.
Sal Frelick Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Sal Frelick is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Sal Frelick will have the upper hand today.
Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
Brice Turang is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Brice Turang will have an advantage in today's matchup. Brice Turang hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Jake Bauers Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
Jake Bauers has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
KC vs MIL Trends
Kansas City Trends
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+13.75 Units / 27% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 31 games (+15.25 Units / 45% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 93 of their last 164 games (+12.70 Units / 6% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.75 Units / 19% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the Game Total Over in 68 of their last 164 games (-31.70 Units / -18% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 1 of their last 3 games (-1.15 Units / -36% ROI)
Milwaukee Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 83 of their last 161 games (+9.15 Units / 5% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 53 games (+6.45 Units / 10% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 88 of their last 156 games (+7.30 Units / 4% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 72 games at home (+5.50 Units / 6% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 72 games at home (+3.95 Units / 4% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 162 games (-29.52 Units / -15% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have only hit the Game Total Under in 68 of their last 161 games (-23.35 Units / -13% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have only hit the Team Total Under in 76 of their last 160 games (-20.70 Units / -11% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 62 of their last 144 games (-13.18 Units / -7% ROI)
KC vs MIL Top User Picks
Kansas City Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DaBoss80 | 6-4-0 | +21380 |
| 2 | CHEOAPONTE | 4-6-0 | +19625 |
| 3 | Sandsaver727 | 5-5-0 | +15915 |
| 4 | DavePaliwoda | 6-4-0 | +13570 |
| 5 | Mava5 | 7-3-0 | +13310 |
| 6 | jerrygora | 3-7-0 | +12980 |
| 7 | Brayy_Wyatt | 7-3-0 | +12595 |
| 8 | Yellafella59 | 7-3-0 | +12435 |
| 9 | stakay125 | 5-5-0 | +12285 |
| 10 | Mexicali72 | 3-7-0 | +12020 |
| All Royals Money Leaders | |||
Milwaukee Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | doomsday07 | 9-1-0 | +27055 |
| 2 | LuckyGuy | 3-7-0 | +21010 |
| 3 | Ollywood | 4-6-0 | +19651 |
| 4 | luke44 | 2-7-1 | +18810 |
| 5 | declin005 | 5-5-0 | +18675 |
| 6 | ronebme | 7-3-0 | +18055 |
| 7 | joe pockets | 7-3-0 | +17000 |
| 8 | peede | 5-5-0 | +16645 |
| 9 | longball44 | 7-3-0 | +16480 |
| 10 | djgarcia | 7-3-0 | +16030 |
| All Brewers Money Leaders | |||